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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 15, 2026

Dajani picks the Seahawks 23-20 over the Broncos and predicts the Texans upset the Jaguars 21-18 in London.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · all settled
75Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
68.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I predict they keep that momentum going and score an upset victory across the pond.
Jordan Dajani, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Pick Six: Seahawks-Broncos predictions for Thursday night, plus NFL Week 6 picks and QB rankings
The original
Read the original
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  1. SaidOct 15
  2. PlayedOct 15–18
  3. GradedOct 16–18
  1. 1Houston Texans 21 — Jaguars 18“Jordan Dajani — Texans (+3) 21-18 over Jaguars.”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks 23 — Broncos 20“Jordan Dajani's pick: Seahawks 23-20 over Broncos”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Houston Texans 21 — Jaguars 181Score PredictionsTexans 34–3110042.86+98.29
Seattle Seahawks 23 — Broncos 202Score PredictionsBroncos 17–145093.6−74.99
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled7568.2

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 68.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsHouston Texans

    Houston Texans 21 — Jaguars 18

    What happenedTexans 34–31called Texans by 3 · won by 3
    100Hit · naive 42.86
    100this call42.86a naive guess57.14better than naive1.72difficulty+98.29skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 21–18 calls a Texans win (by 3; the line gave the Texans 44%) and fewer points (39). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    98.29
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    42.86
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks 23 — Broncos 20

    What happenedBroncos 17–14called Seahawks by 3 · lost by 3
    50Close · naive 93.6
    50this call93.6a naive guess−43.6worse than naive1.72difficulty−74.99skill

    Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5, total 40.5 · this 23–20 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 3) and more points (43).

    How this was scored
    score:
    14-17
    skill:
    −74.99
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    93.6
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0.31
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    75naive 68.2

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