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Manti Te'o#65 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2025

Manti picked a Ravens-Rams Super Bowl with Baltimore winning it, and also named Lamar Jackson their MVP.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 4calls landed1 close call · 3 misses · all settled
12.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#65Manti Te'o’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Manti Te'o said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Baltimore will in the Super Bowl in the Bay against the l A Rams.
Manti Te'o, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Thursday Hour 1: Super Bowl picks! Eagles-Cowboys preview
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl“my super Bowl matchup this year as the Baltimore Ravens in the LA Rams”
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl“my super Bowl matchup this year as the Baltimore Ravens in the LA Rams”
  3. 3Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl“the Baltimore Ravens are winning the super Bowl this year”
  4. 4Lamar Jackson to win MVP“if you saw my MVP prediction yesterday, you saw that I chose Lamar Jackson as my MVP”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl2Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won500+100
Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl3Super Bowl PicksSEA won it000
Lamar Jackson to win MVP4Award PicksMatthew Stafford won000
4 calls · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled12.50

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 award pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 12.5 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked BAL
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Conference ChampionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked LAR
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive2difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Super Bowl PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked BAL
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Lamar Jackson
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Lamar Jackson
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    12.5naive 0

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.