Colin Cowherd· Oct 17, 2025
Cowherd's "Blazing Five" NFL picks plus a college pick and additional games: Browns, Broncos, Cowboys-Commanders over, Packers, Lions, Notre Dame, plus Bears and 49ers picks.
“I trust Cleveland's defense to carry the day, maybe get a turnover in points twenty four to seventeen. Browns win and cover.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
7 checkable claims — 5 score predictions, 1 award pick and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 60.9 out of 100, against 59.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsWashington CommandersOct 17, 2025
Washington Commanders 30 — Cowboys 27
“I'm taking the over. Commanders win. That's not my play. Thirty twenty seven.”
Miss · 5Scored 4.76a naive guess scored 52.45-79.64 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-44
- skill:
- -79.64
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 4.76
- baseline:
- 52.45
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Award PicksBaker MayfieldTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 17, 2025
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
“I would vote him today... he would be MVP and then Mahomes would be runner up.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Baker Mayfield
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersOct 17, 2025
Green Bay Packers 28 — Arizona 24
“I'm going to take green Bay to win close. Seven points is too many. Twenty eight to twenty four.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 45.3+91.34 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-23
- skill:
- 91.34
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 45.3
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 4
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsOct 17, 2025
Detroit Lions 28 — Buccaneers 21
“Bucks Lions win it. Lions cover twenty eight to twenty one.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 69.11+19.77 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 9-24
- skill:
- 19.77
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 80.95
- baseline:
- 69.11
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Score PredictionsDenver BroncosOct 17, 2025
Denver Broncos 28 — Giants 20
“I'm gonna take Denver to win twenty eight to twenty. Cover the spread.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 97.55-23.75 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 32-33
- skill:
- -23.75
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 97.55
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 8
- Score PredictionsCleveland BrownsOct 17, 2025
Cleveland Browns 24 — Dolphins 17
“I trust Cleveland's defense to carry the day, maybe get a turnover in points twenty four to seventeen. Browns win and cover.”
Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 50+11.93 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 6-31
- skill:
- 11.93
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 57.14
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 25
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 17, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta
“if San Francisco can bring it back a couple of weapons, I like San Francisco.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 10-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 88Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
- Nate TiceScore Predictions · Cincinnati BengalsClose · 74Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Matt HarmonScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 33Dubin picked the Eagles to win at Chicago 23-10 on Monday night.