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Alain Poupart#33 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 24, 2026

Predicts a 16-13 Jets win, suggesting Miami might instead win the rematch in Miami.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

50Close · out of 100

Dolphins 28–25What happenedcalled Jets by 3 · lost by 3

42.18A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

50This callout of 100

#33Alain Poupart’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Alain Poupart said

Maybe they’ll win the rematch in Miami.

Our reading: New York Jets 16 — Dolphins 13

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Dolphins-Jets Week 7 National Predictions Roundup: Any More Miami Believers?
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 24
PlayedOct 25
GradedOct 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 42.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Score Predictions New York Jets
New York Jets 16 — Dolphins 13
What happenedDolphins 28–25called Jets by 3 · lost by 3
50Close · naive 42.18
50this call42.18a naive guess7.82better than naive1.67difficulty+13.06skill
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5, total 39.5 · this 16–13 calls a closer game (Jets by 3) and fewer points (29).
How this was scored
score:
28-25
skill:
13.06
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
42.18
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Dolphins at JetsDolphins 28Jets 2562 calls →

Who this take is about

New York Jets

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.

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