Kayvon ThibodeauxJan 11, 2025
Kayvon Thibodeaux picks the Ravens to come out of the AFC and the Commanders, their dark horse, to come out of the NFC over the Eagles, whom they call the best overall team.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Kayvon Thibodeaux said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI got Commanders coming out because they got nothing to lose underdogs.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- Dark horse Super Bowl contenders, playing for incentives, all-time clutch sacker rankings with Kayvon Thibodeaux
- The original
- Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 11, 2025
- GradedAug 17, 2026
- 1Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl“Who would be either be what the chiefs of the Ravens... I'm going Ravens. I'm going Ravens.”
- 2Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl“I got Commanders Eagles. Eagles I think are the best overall team. But I got Commanders coming out because they got nothing to lose underdogs.”
- 3Washington Commanders to beat expectations“NFC Uh? My dark horse right now is the Commanders.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl1 | Conference Champions | PHI and KC won | 0 | 100 | −100 | |
| Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl2 | Conference Champions | PHI and KC won | 50 | 100 | −50 | |
| Washington Commanders to beat expectations3 | Surprise Team Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 25 | 100 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 2 conference champions and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 25 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Conference ChampionsBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI and KC wonpicked BAL0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1difficulty=−100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −100
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI, KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
2Conference ChampionsWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI and KC wonpicked WAS50Close · naive 10050this call−100a naive guess=−50worse than naive×1difficulty=−50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −50
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI, KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
3Surprise Team CallsWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to beat expectations
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
25naive 100
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Damonza Byrd · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.AJ Hawk · Conference Champions · Los Angeles Rams · Close 50
Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.Derek Murphy · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.