Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 3, 2025
Brockman argued the Seahawks are the NFC's best team and will land the No. 1 seed, that Jacksonville will reach 11 wins and steal the AFC South from Indianapolis, that JJ McCarthy will lead the Vikings to the playoffs, and that Matthew Stafford will be an MVP finalist.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think they're the best team in the NFC, and they're gonna be the one seed.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 9: Seahawks NFC's Best? Colts' & Packers' Duds, JJ McCarthy Shows Out
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 3, 2025
- GradedAug 13–17, 2026
- 1Seattle Seahawks to take the top seed“I think they're the best team in the NFC, and they're gonna be the one seed.”
- 2Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division“and they could steal this division”
- 3Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 11 wins“I think they're gonna get to 11 wins, Jacksonville”
- 4Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs“He's back, JJ McCarthy. Yeah. He's gonna take the Vikings to the playoffs.”
- 5Matthew Stafford to win MVP finalist“Matthew Stafford Rich. He is absolutely balling and he's gonna be an MVP finalist.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks to take the top seed1 | Seeding, Byes and Home Field | — | 100 | 0 | +156 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division2 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 0 | +156 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 11 wins3 | Season Win Totals | 13 | 60 | 0 | +93.6 | |
| Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs4 | Playoff Picks | Missed the playoffs | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Matthew Stafford to win MVP finalist5 | Award Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 65 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive5 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick, 1 season win total and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 65 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Seeding, Byes and Home FieldSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to take the top seed
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.56difficulty=+156skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- bye
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (missed the playoffs)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 10
2Division WinnersJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.56difficulty=+156skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 156
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- won the division:
- yes
3Season Win TotalsJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 11 wins
What happened13called 1160Close · naive 060this call−0a naive guess=60better than naive×1.56difficulty=+93.6skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 93.6
- what happened:
- 13
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 0
- they said:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
4Playoff PicksMinnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs
What happenedMissed the playoffs0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.56difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- MIN
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 10
5Award PicksMatthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams
Matthew Stafford to win MVP finalist
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
65naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.Justin Penik · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Jones · Hit 100
Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Daniel DiBerardinis · Division Winners · Atlanta Falcons · Miss 0
Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. They also give a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · New York Giants · Miss 0
Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 0
Cowherd unveiled their top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks.Cynthia Frelund · Division Winners · Houston Texans · Miss 0
Freeland's model has the Chargers winning straight up in Dallas, the Texans winning big over the Raiders and going on to win the AFC South, the Lions beating the Steelers by six, the Saints beating the Jets, and the Packers beating the Bears; they also see the AFC's Super Bowl representative being either Denver or Houston.