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TJ Jefferson#66 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 14, 2026

Jefferson, a Cowboys fan, said Dallas would not beat Green Bay in the Sunday night game.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Packers 23–13What happenedCowboys at Packers
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#66TJ Jefferson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What TJ Jefferson said

Do you think they're gonna beat the Packers? ... No. I don't think so either.
Our reading: Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys
The episode
Hour 2: NFL Week 6 Power Rankings, plus WWE Superstar The Miz Talks Browns & Guardians
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 14
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 19

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys

    What happenedPackers 23–13Cowboys at Packers
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Cowboys 51%, Packers 49%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    13-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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