Ethan HurwitzAug 23, 2026

Hurwitz argues that after two straight preseason touchdowns, second-year receiver Kyle Williams has played their way onto the Patriots' 53-man roster and shouldn't be at risk of the Aug. 30 cuts.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100

3 weeks on a 53What happenedsettled

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

0Skillafter difficulty

What Ethan Hurwitz said

There's competition for those final wide receiver spots on the roster, and Williams has started to look uncuttable.

Our reading: Kyle Williams to make the roster

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Speed Alone Might Earn Patriots WR Kyle Williams a Roster Spot
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 23
GradedSep 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Roster Spot Calls Kyle Williams New England Patriots
Kyle Williams to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
0
player:
Kyle Williams
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

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