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Joe BannerJul 24, 2025

Banner predicted neither the Chiefs nor the Eagles would reach the Super Bowl this year, picking the Bills to break through in the AFC, Minnesota as their NFC favorite, and Tampa Bay as their sleeper/surprise team.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Joe Banner said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I happen to think both of them won't make the Super Bowl this year.
Joe Banner, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
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The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJul 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026
  1. 1Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl“But I am actually going with Minnesota... So that would be my favorite.”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl“I just think the Bills are just too good to keep almost getting there... So I I just don't think they're gonna keep getting close and not get there. So I think they're getting there.”
  3. 3Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat expectations“my surprise kind of is Tampa Bay, which I think people are kind of underestimating... My sleeper would be Tampa Bay.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl2Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat expectations3Surprise Team Calls————
3 calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 conference champions and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsMinnesota Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked MIN
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Conference ChampionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked BUF
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Surprise Team CallsTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 0

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.