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Todd McShayApr 16, 2026

McShay's mock has the Chiefs drafting Arizona State wide receiver Jordan Tyson at No. 9, and also has the Jets trading up for Carnell Tate.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
95.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Todd McShay said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The wide receiver, Jordan Tyson, that's who Todd McShea has them taking out of Arizona State.
Todd McShay, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: Rich’s Top 5 NFL Teams That Should Draft Up in the Draft, plus Bob Odenkirk In-Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 16
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9“The wide receiver, Jordan Tyson, that's who Todd McShea has them taking out of Arizona State.”
  2. 2Carnell Tate to be picked “Jets move up for him”“the Jets should move up. They should move up for Carnell Tate. When d when DJ put this one in my head, I'm like, that makes sense. And now we've got Todd McShay saying the same thing.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 91Mock Draft PicksWent 895.7650—
Carnell Tate to be picked “Jets move up for him”2Mock Draft Picks————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting95.850

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 95.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
9They said
8What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonKansas City Chiefs

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9

    What happenedWent 8mocked at 9
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateNew York Jets

    Carnell Tate to be picked “Jets move up for him”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

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