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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 23, 2026

Dajani picks the Steelers to beat the Saints in the Paris game by a narrow margin, forecasting a 23-20 final.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

93Hit · out of 100
Steelers 16–10What happenedcalled Steelers by 3 · won by 6
35.04A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
92.86This callout of 100
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

Prediction: Steelers 23, Saints 20
Our reading: Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Saints 20
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 7 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who wins Ravens-Bengals AFC North showdown? Texans keep rolling?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 23
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 92.9 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Saints 20

    What happenedSteelers 16–10called Steelers by 3 · won by 6
    92.86Hit · naive 35.04
    92.86this call35.04a naive guess57.82better than naive1.67difficulty+96.56skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3, total 43.5 · this 23–20 calls the line’s margin (Steelers by 3) and fewer points (43).

    How this was scored
    score:
    16-10
    skill:
    96.56
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    35.04
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.28
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

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