Pat Fitzmaurice· Dec 26, 2025
Fitzmorris gave his own Week 17 ranks: Trevor Lawrence QB10 with Lamar Jackson just ahead, Caleb Williams outside startable range, Tyler Shuck QB11 (and a clear preference over Justin Herbert), Dallas Goedert TE10, Hunter Henry TE13 and Taysom Hill TE15.
“Shuck, on the other hand, has scored seventeen or more fantasy points in four straight games and is QB nine in fantasy scoring over that four week stretch.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
7 checkable claims — 7 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 20.2 out of 100, against 2.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesTyler ShoughDec 26, 2025
Tyler Shough to finish top 11 at his position, by fantasy points
“Tyler Shuck QB twelve, You've actually got him at eleven”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Tyler Shough
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at QB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 12
- actual finish:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 11
Dallas Goedert to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
“FITZI, you've got him at ten. You just you have him quite a bit lower, but you still do have him as a starter.”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 0+37 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 37
- player:
- Dallas Goedert
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 33.33
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 25
- actual finish:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 10
- Positional FinishesHunter HenryDec 26, 2025
Hunter Henry to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points
“I moved him up one spot this morning to tight end thirteen.”
Miss · 25Scored 25a naive guess scored 8.33+18.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 18.5
- player:
- Hunter Henry
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 15
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 13
- Positional FinishesTaysom HillNew Orleans SaintsDec 26, 2025
Taysom Hill to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
“You've got him at fifteen... I feel like the Saints are just going to lean into what they did with him last week”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Taysom Hill
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 16
- actual finish:
- 51
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 15
- Positional FinishesTrevor LawrenceDec 26, 2025
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
“I know Lawrence has been great, so I've got him QB ten”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+55.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 55.5
- player:
- Trevor Lawrence
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 27
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 10
- Positional FinishesLamar JacksonDec 26, 2025
Lamar Jackson to finish top 9 at his position, by fantasy points
“I'm ranking Lamar Jackson as if he's going to play, so I have him one spot ahead of Trevor Lawrence”
Miss · 8Scored 8.33a naive guess scored 0+9.25 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 9.25
- player:
- Lamar Jackson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 8.33
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 1
- actual finish:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 9
- Positional FinishesCaleb WilliamsDec 26, 2025
Caleb Williams to finish top 14 at his position, by fantasy points
“Fitzy, you got him at fourteen fifty... I just think QB ten is too high for a guy who just hasn't been a very good passer over the last month and a half.”
Miss · 25Scored 25a naive guess scored 8.33+18.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 18.5
- player:
- Caleb Williams
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 16
- actual finish:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 14
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsClose · 48Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Matt HarmonScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
- Ty SchmitGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0While taking the Bears to cover, he said he expects the Eagles to win Monday night in Chicago in a tight game.
- Darius ButlerGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0He trusts Jalen Hurts over the Bears' quarterback situation and picked Philadelphia to beat Chicago on Monday night.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.