Rich Eisen· Sep 15, 2025
Eisen endorsed the Colts as a playoff team and Jonathan Taylor as the league's best running back, agreed Mac Jones will be a starting quarterback in 2026 and that Jordan Love will finish no lower than second in MVP voting, and said the Packers look like a 13-14 win team.
“Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 positional finishe and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 39 out of 100, against 75.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Green Bay Packers · 2025 season · wins4 calls from 4 pundits between 8 wins and 13 wins. Rich Eisen said 13 wins. the room's median is 9 wins. what happened: 9 wins
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksIndianapolis ColtsSep 15, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
“Bro, they they are a playoff team. ... And Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- IND
- skill:
- -194
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 17
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
“And Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction. I have bought one.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.17 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.17
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- rushing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Season Win TotalsGreen Bay PackersSep 15, 2025
Green Bay Packers to finish with 13 wins
“Certainly, the Packers look like a 14 or 13 win team.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 85-126.1 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- naive:
- 9.75
- skill:
- -126.1
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Award PicksJordan LoveGreen Bay PackersSep 15, 2025
Jordan Love to win MVP
“He's gonna finish no lower than second in MVP voting this season. Can't argue with this. It's his time. I can't argue with it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jordan Love
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Depth Chart CallsMac JonesSep 15, 2025
Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“I can't sit here and say if somebody needs a new starting quarterback in 2026 that they won't say, look at what Donald did. Let's take Mac Jones. ... I'll buy it.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.17 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- SF
- skill:
- -16.17
- player:
- Mac Jones
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsHit · 98Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 3 game, including a Bills blowout of the reeling Chargers, a Chiefs rout in Miami, a Seahawks win over a Mariota-led Washington, and the Saints beating the Raiders in their home opener. He also expects Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Jaxson Dart all to be sidelined in Week 3, with Marcus Mariota starting for Washington.
- Mike KadlickScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 7Kadlick expects an ugly, low-scoring Thursday night game at Lambeau Field, with Green Bay beating Atlanta 10–7 to move to 2–1 while the Falcons drop to 0–3 in Michael Penix Jr.'s return.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 24Dubin picks the Packers to beat the Falcons comfortably on Thursday Night Football, predicting a 23-13 Green Bay win.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 17Dajani gave final-score predictions for eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Buccaneers (upset), Ravens, Broncos (upset) and Eagles to win.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 24Dubin gave final-score predictions for the same eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Rams and Eagles.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Jonah ColemanMiss · 0In his Week 3 waiver column, Fitzmaurice makes several depth-chart calls around injuries: Jonah Coleman leading Denver's backfield, Marcus Mariota taking over in Washington, Michael Penix Jr. starting once healthy, and Malik Washington serving as Miami's top receiver, plus availability expectations for Detroit's injured safeties.
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Hit · 100Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Aaron JonesHit · 100In previewing the 10 most intriguing fantasy performers of Week 2, Fitzmaurice expects Atlanta's quarterback problems to persist with Tua Tagovailoa unlikely to play and Michael Penix Jr. not ready to return, flags Falcons slot corner Billy Bowman Jr. as a possible Week 2 returnee, and describes Aaron Jones as Minnesota's lead back and Kaelon Black as the clear backup to Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco.
- Matt SeveranceDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.
- Rich HribarDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter.