Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 15, 2025
Eisen endorsed the Colts as a playoff team and Jonathan Taylor as the league's best running back, agreed Mac Jones will be a starting quarterback in 2026 and that Jordan Love will finish no lower than second in MVP voting, and said the Packers look like a 13-14 win team.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromJonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 2: Burrow to Miss Months, Bears' Caleb Concerns, Cowboys Survive & More
- The original
- Hear the original
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- SaidSep 15, 2025
- GradedAug 13, 2026
- 1Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs“Bro, they they are a playoff team. ... And Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction.”
- 2Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards“And Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction. I have bought one.”
- 3Green Bay Packers to finish with 13 wins“Certainly, the Packers look like a 14 or 13 win team.”
- 4Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart“I can't sit here and say if somebody needs a new starting quarterback in 2026 that they won't say, look at what Donald did. Let's take Mac Jones. ... I'll buy it.”
- 5Jordan Love — MVP: finish no lower than second in MVP voting“He's gonna finish no lower than second in MVP voting this season. Can't argue with this. It's his time. I can't argue with it.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs1 | Playoff Picks | Missed the playoffs | 0 | 100 | −194 | |
| Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards2 | Positional Finishes | Finished #3 | 83.33 | 91.67 | −16.17 | |
| Green Bay Packers to finish with 13 wins3 | Season Win Totals | 9 | 20 | 85 | −126.1 | |
| Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 2 | 91.67 | 100 | −16.17 | |
| Jordan Love — MVP: finish no lower than second in MVP voting5 | Award Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · 1 waiting | 48.8 | 94.2 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive5 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 positional finish and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 48.8 out of 100, against 94.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Playoff PicksIndianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
What happenedMissed the playoffs0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.94difficulty=−194skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- IND
- skill:
- −194
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 17
2Positional FinishesJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
What happenedFinished #3called #1 · by rushing yards83.33Hit · naive 91.6783.33this call−91.67a naive guess=−8.34worse than naive×1.94difficulty=−16.17skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −16.17
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- rushing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 1
3Season Win TotalsGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to finish with 13 wins
What happened9called 1320Miss · naive 8520this call−85a naive guess=−65worse than naive×1.94difficulty=−126.1skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- GB
- naive:
- 9.75
- skill:
- −126.1
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 85
- they said:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards91.67Hit · naive 10091.67this call−100a naive guess=−8.33worse than naive×1.94difficulty=−16.17skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- SF
- skill:
- −16.17
- player:
- Mac Jones
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17
5Award PicksJordan LoveGreen Bay Packers
Jordan Love — MVP: finish no lower than second in MVP voting
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
48.8naive 94.2
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.John Middlekauff · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Middlekauff declared the AFC South over and the Jaguars the division champs, while listing several clubs they expect in the playoffs and pegging the Jets for a top-five draft slot. They also leaned Packers and Bears in Week 9 games, predicted roughly five or six wins for Washington, said Brandon Aiyuk is not coming back, and called Tyson Bagent's current deal the biggest they'll ever sign.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.