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Dharya SharmaOct 18, 2026

Sharma predicts the Titans stay winless in Week 6, keeping the game close on the road but losing to the Colts, extending both their losing streak to Indianapolis and their skid against AFC South opponents.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Titans 26–20What happenedTitans at Colts
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Dharya Sharma said

We'll see when, or if, the Titans tally a win in 2026. It likely won't be in Week 6.
Our reading: Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
3 Last-Second Predictions for Titans Week 6 Matchup Against Colts
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 18
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis Colts

    Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans

    What happenedTitans 26–20Titans at Colts
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · favorite pick, Colts 72%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    TEN
    score:
    26-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?

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