Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 26, 2025

Rosenthal picked the Packers to beat a "dead team walking" Ravens squad and clinch playoff spots for Green Bay and Pittsburgh, the Rams to roll over the Falcons on Monday night, and the Dolphins to win outright at Tampa Bay; they also took the Chargers over Houston on the NFL picks show and expected the Patriots to blow out the Jets.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

4 of 6calls landed4 hits · 2 misses · all settled

66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

6 of 6Settlednone still waiting

#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

The Packers are going to cover this number no matter what it is. I just think that the Ravens are a dead team walking.

Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode: Week 17 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidDec 26, 2025
GradedAug 7–17, 2026

1New England Patriots to beat Jets“But yeah, I think the Pat's killed”
2Green Bay Packers to beat Ravens“The Packers are going to cover this number no matter what it is. I just think that the Ravens are a dead team walking... just beat this Ravens team and kind of put them out of their misery on Saturday night”
3Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs“clinch a playoff spot for themselves and the Pittsburgh Steelers”
4Miami Dolphins to beat Bucks“It is the Miami Dolphins plus five and a half... I might as well just take the Dolphins to win.”
5Los Angeles Chargers to beat Texans“it's put up on the NFL feed as our NFL pick... and I pick up the Chargers, but I don't feel strong about this one.”
6Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs“clinch a playoff spot for themselves and the Pittsburgh Steelers”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
New England Patriots to beat Jets¹	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	0	+111
Green Bay Packers to beat Ravens²	Game Outcome Picks	—	0	0	0
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs³	Playoff Picks	Made the playoffs	100	100	0
Miami Dolphins to beat Bucks⁴	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	100	0
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Texans⁵	Game Outcome Picks	—	0	0	0
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs⁶	Playoff Picks	Made the playoffs	100	100	0
6 calls · 4 hits · 2 misses · all settled			66.7	50

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

6 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 2 playoff picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Game Outcome Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Jets
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.11difficulty+111skill
Closing line (Dec 28): Patriots by 12.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 7 in 8 (87%).
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
42-10
skill:
111
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
2Game Outcome Picks Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to beat Ravens
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.11difficulty0skill
Closing line (Dec 27): Packers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Packers 56%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
41-24
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
GB
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
3Playoff Picks Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.11difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
4Game Outcome Picks Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins to beat Bucks
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.11difficulty0skill
Closing line (Dec 28): Buccaneers by 5.5 · underdog pick, Dolphins about 1 in 3 (31%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
How this was scored
won:
MIA
score:
17-20
skill:
0
they picked:
MIA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
MIA
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
5Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Texans
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.11difficulty0skill
Closing line (Dec 27): Chargers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Texans 48%, Chargers 52%.
How this was scored
won:
HOU
score:
20-16
skill:
0
they picked:
LAC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
6Playoff Picks Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.11difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 50

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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