David Harrison#57 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 8, 2026
Harrison unveils his top-10 'vertical Z receiver' big board for the Commanders in the 2026 draft class, led by Cincinnati's Jeff Caldwell, and attaches draft-range projections to the prospects (Caldwell early Day 3, Bryce Lance mid-Day 3, Chris Brasel early Day 2, Malik Benson mid-Day 3/seventh round, Stribling late Day 3, Jordan Tyson Day 1). He also lays out Washington's projected receiver depth chart and 53-man group, with Dyami Brown as the starting Z.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast)Hear the original
What David Harrison said
Jeff Caldwell, Cincinnati wide receiver, our number one, number one lid lifting z target in the NFL draft for the Washington commanders because he fits the mold the most clearly.
- Where it was said
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)
- The episode
- TOP 10 Deep Threats for the Commanders 🚀 Jeff Caldwell is #1 in 2026 NFL Draft
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 8
- GradedAug 14–Oct 11
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roster Spot Calls | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mock Draft Picks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Top Player Lists | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
How each call scored
20 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks, 6 roster spot calls, 3 depth chart calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 91.2 out of 100, against 85.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Terry McLaurin · 2026 season10 calls from 9 pundits between 1 and 1. David Harrison said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Roster Spot Calls5 hits · 1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Van Jefferson to make the roster
“The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”
1 week on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Van Jefferson
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 5
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 4
Luke McCaffrey to make the roster
“The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Luke McCaffrey
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Jaylin Lane to make the roster
“The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jaylin Lane
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Treylon Burks to make the roster
“The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Treylon Burks
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Terry McLaurin to make the roster
“The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”
3 weeks on a 53100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Terry McLaurin
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Marquise Brown to make the roster
“The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Mock Draft Picks1 hit · 1 miss · 8 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Malik Benson to be picked “number two twenty three in the seventh round” (picks 217–257)
“which leaves Malik Benson potentially there at two twenty three in the seventh round”
Went 19538.56MissThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Malik Benson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 38.56
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 195
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 38.56
- predicted pick:
- number two twenty three in the seventh round (picks 217–257)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Carnell Tate to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“You see guys like Carnell Tate, who's a first round pick”
Went 4100HitThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round pick (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Jeff Caldwell to be picked “Early day three”
“Early day three prospects, six foot five, so he's well over that six foot one threshold.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Chris Brazzell to be picked “early day two”
“He's an early day two guy. You know, the commanders don't have an early day two pick.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Bryce Lance to be picked “Midday three picks”
“Our second unicorn fits the athletic profile to a t... Midday, three picks, six three, 204 pounds”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
De'Zhaun Stribling to be picked “late day three”
“He is also projected to be a late day three guy, although you see some mocks with him going earlier.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jeff Caldwell to be picked “from one forty seven to one eighty seven”
“Jeff Caldwell from one forty seven to one eighty seven is likely to come off.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Zavion Thomas to be picked “from one eighty seven to 209”
“Zavian Thomas from one eighty seven to 209 is likely to come off.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Malik Benson to be picked “midday three pick”
“Malik Benson is a midday three pick projection out of Oregon.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jordyn Tyson to be picked “day one, potentially could slide to day two”
“I still think he's gonna go day one, potentially could slide to day two.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Depth Chart Calls3 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart
“Terry McLaren's a starting x. Jalen Lane is your gadget.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Dyami Brown to be 1st on the depth chart
“The starting z. I think right now, I would put De'Ami Brown in that in that spot.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Luke McCaffrey to be 1st on the depth chart
“Luke McCaffrey is that power slot.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Top Player Lists1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
“The top guy in this year's NFL draft class that fits that profile, Cincinnati wide receiver, Jeff Caldwell coming in second. North Dakota state receiver, Bryce Lance... Georgia State's Ted Hurst is tenth. ... Mckay Lemon actually ended up coming in eleventh overall.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Van Jefferson, Washington Commanders, Luke McCaffrey, Jaylin Lane, Treylon Burks, Terry McLaurin, Malik Benson, Carnell Tate, Jeff Caldwell, Marquise Brown, Chris Brazzell, Tennessee Titans, Bryce Lance, De'Zhaun Stribling, Dyami Brown, Zavion Thomas, Jordyn Tyson
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.