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David Harrison#57 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 8, 2026

Harrison unveils his top-10 'vertical Z receiver' big board for the Commanders in the 2026 draft class, led by Cincinnati's Jeff Caldwell, and attaches draft-range projections to the prospects (Caldwell early Day 3, Bryce Lance mid-Day 3, Chris Brasel early Day 2, Malik Benson mid-Day 3/seventh round, Stribling late Day 3, Jordan Tyson Day 1). He also lays out Washington's projected receiver depth chart and 53-man group, with Dyami Brown as the starting Z.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast)Hear the original

6 of 7calls landed6 hits · 1 miss · 13 waiting
91.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls
85.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
7 of 20Settled13 still waiting
#57David Harrison’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What David Harrison said

Jeff Caldwell, Cincinnati wide receiver, our number one, number one lid lifting z target in the NFL draft for the Washington commanders because he fits the mold the most clearly.
David Harrison, the lead quote
The episode
TOP 10 Deep Threats for the Commanders 🚀 Jeff Caldwell is #1 in 2026 NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 8
  2. GradedAug 14–Oct 11

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Roster Spot Calls5001
Mock Draft Picks1018
Depth Chart Calls0003
Top Player Lists0001
All60113

How each call scored

20 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks, 6 roster spot calls, 3 depth chart calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 91.2 out of 100, against 85.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Terry McLaurin · 2026 season

10 calls from 9 pundits between 1 and 1. David Harrison said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

David Harrison — 1the room — 10 calls from 9 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Roster Spot Calls5 hits · 1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Van Jefferson to make the roster

    “The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”

    Van JeffersonWashington Commanders

    1 week on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Van Jefferson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    5
    weeks on the practice squad:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Luke McCaffrey to make the roster

    “The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”

    Luke McCaffreyWashington Commanders

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Luke McCaffrey
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Jaylin Lane to make the roster

    “The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”

    Jaylin LaneWashington Commanders

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jaylin Lane
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Treylon Burks to make the roster

    “The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”

    Treylon BurksWashington Commanders

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Treylon Burks
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Terry McLaurin to make the roster

    “The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”

    Terry McLaurinWashington Commanders

    3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Terry McLaurin
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Marquise Brown to make the roster

    “The top six receivers today, the guys that I would put on the initial 53, McLaren, McCaffrey, Lane, Jefferson, Brown, Traylen Burks.”

    Marquise BrownWashington Commanders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Mock Draft Picks1 hit · 1 miss · 8 waitingShow ▸
  1. Malik Benson to be picked “number two twenty three in the seventh round” (picks 217–257)

    “which leaves Malik Benson potentially there at two twenty three in the seventh round”

    Malik Benson

    Went 195
    38.56Miss
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Malik Benson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    38.56
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    195
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    38.56
    predicted pick:
    number two twenty three in the seventh round (picks 217–257)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Carnell Tate to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    “You see guys like Carnell Tate, who's a first round pick”

    Carnell Tate

    Went 4
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Jeff Caldwell to be picked “Early day three”

    “Early day three prospects, six foot five, so he's well over that six foot one threshold.”

    Jeff Caldwell

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Chris Brazzell to be picked “early day two”

    “He's an early day two guy. You know, the commanders don't have an early day two pick.”

    Chris BrazzellTennessee Titans

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. Bryce Lance to be picked “Midday three picks”

    “Our second unicorn fits the athletic profile to a t... Midday, three picks, six three, 204 pounds”

    Bryce Lance

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. De'Zhaun Stribling to be picked “late day three”

    “He is also projected to be a late day three guy, although you see some mocks with him going earlier.”

    De'Zhaun Stribling

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. Jeff Caldwell to be picked “from one forty seven to one eighty seven”

    “Jeff Caldwell from one forty seven to one eighty seven is likely to come off.”

    Jeff Caldwell

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  8. Zavion Thomas to be picked “from one eighty seven to 209”

    “Zavian Thomas from one eighty seven to 209 is likely to come off.”

    Zavion Thomas

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  9. Malik Benson to be picked “midday three pick”

    “Malik Benson is a midday three pick projection out of Oregon.”

    Malik Benson

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  10. Jordyn Tyson to be picked “day one, potentially could slide to day two”

    “I still think he's gonna go day one, potentially could slide to day two.”

    Jordyn Tyson

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Depth Chart Calls3 waitingShow ▸
  1. Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Terry McLaren's a starting x. Jalen Lane is your gadget.”

    Terry McLaurinWashington Commanders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Dyami Brown to be 1st on the depth chart

    “The starting z. I think right now, I would put De'Ami Brown in that in that spot.”

    Dyami BrownWashington Commanders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Luke McCaffrey to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Luke McCaffrey is that power slot.”

    Luke McCaffreyWashington Commanders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Top Player Lists1 waitingShow ▸
  1. “The top guy in this year's NFL draft class that fits that profile, Cincinnati wide receiver, Jeff Caldwell coming in second. North Dakota state receiver, Bryce Lance... Georgia State's Ted Hurst is tenth. ... Mckay Lemon actually ended up coming in eleventh overall.”

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.