Rhett LewisMar 2, 2025

Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled

64.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

41.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Rhett Lewis said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I think there was somebody who stood up in this event and grabbed the bull by the horns and said, at IMQB three, And to me, that was Louisville's Tyler Shuck

Rhett Lewis, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: 2025 NFL Combine Recap: QBs, WRs, and RBs
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidMar 2, 2025
GradedAug 5–Sep 18, 2026

1Tyler Shough to be 3rd quarterback off the board“our focus was on that QB three kind of competition, pseudo competition to be that third quarterback off the board... And to me, that was Louisville's Tyler Shuck”
2Jalen Milroe to be picked “second round type of selection” (picks 33–64)“but that does still feel like a second round type of selection in similarity to how the Eagles went about getting Jalen Hurts. I think that could still be the Milroe situation.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Tyler Shough to be 3rd quarterback off the board¹	Position Order Calls	—	100	32.63	+67.37
Jalen Milroe to be picked “second round type of selection” (picks 33–64)²	Mock Draft Picks	Went 92	29.73	50	—
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled			64.9	41.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 64.9 out of 100, against 41.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish

3They said

3What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Position Order Calls Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough to be 3rd quarterback off the board
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 32.63
100this call32.63a naive guess67.37better than naive1difficulty+67.37skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 14 at random averages 32.63
skill:
67.37
player:
Tyler Shough
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
32.63
position:
quarterback
class size:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
3
predicted order:
3
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Mock Draft Picks Jalen Milroe
Jalen Milroe to be picked “second round type of selection” (picks 33–64)
What happenedWent 92
29.73Miss · naive 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jalen Milroe
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
29.73
baseline:
50
actual pick:
92
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
29.73
predicted pick:
second round type of selection (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
64.9naive 41.3

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Jalen Milroe · Miss 0
Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury.
Kyle Crabbs · Mock Draft Picks · Jalen Milroe · Miss 8
Crabbs projects all seven rounds of the 2025 NFL Draft, starting with Cam Ward going No. 1 overall to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and Abdul Carter third to the Giants.
Mel Kiper · Mock Draft Picks · Jalen Milroe · Miss 30
Kiper's mock draft 4.0, as read out on the show, has Cam Ward going No. 1, Travis Hunter No. 2 to Cleveland, Shedeur Sanders sliding to No. 9 to New Orleans, and a full first round plus second-round picks including a Bears haul of Tyler Warren, Walter Nolen and TreVeyon Henderson.
Doug Joubert · Roster Spot Calls · Tyler Shough · Hit 100
Joubert projects the Saints' 53-man roster ahead of the cutdown deadline, naming every player they expect to make the team by position group, plus several players they expect to receive PUP/IR designations, and predicting Torricelli Simpkins will later be moved to the practice squad.
Ross Jackson · Roster Spot Calls · Tyler Shough · Hit 100
Ross Jackson gives their final preseason 53-man roster projection for the New Orleans Saints, naming who makes the initial roster at every position group, who starts on injured reserve or the practice squad, and who the five starting offensive linemen and kicker will be.
Shannon Sharpe · Roster Spot Calls · Jalen Milroe · Hit 100
Sharpe expects Drew Lock to be Seattle's clear No. 2 quarterback, with Jaylen Milroe kept and Mitchell Trubisky released; they also predict Shedeur Sanders will be named the Browns' starter and Deshaun Watson eventually released, and says Cleveland won't win the Super Bowl.

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Joe Marino · Position Order Calls · Arvell Reese · Hit 100
Marino stacks 14 inside linebackers in the 2026 NFL draft class and assigns each a round-value grade, with Sonny Styles first (top-10 grade) and Anthony Hill third; they say Hill would be their preferred pick if Buffalo takes a linebacker at No. 26.
Ian Rapoport · Position Order Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Close 71
Rapoport said Travis Hunter is likely the pick at No. 2 for the Browns, that Shedeur Sanders is in play at No. 3, and predicted Tetairoa McMillan would be the first receiver drafted. They also expected Brock Purdy's next deal to land around $50 million per year with Dak Prescott remaining the only quarterback above $60 million.
Peter Schrager · Position Order Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Close 71
Schrager laid out their top 10 prospects entering the 2025 combine, with Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Tyler Warren third, and attached draft-range calls to several of them — Will Johnson in the first round, Mason Graham a top-five pick, Ashton Jeanty a first-rounder, Tyler Warren not escaping the top ten, and Cam Ward a top-five to top-ten pick who will start as a rookie.
Matty Lane · Position Order Calls · Spencer Fano · Hit 100
Maddie Lane said Spencer Fano is clearly the first tackle off the board, that the top four players in their mock will be four of the first five picks, that Malik Mohammed goes ahead of Igbunosin, and that Blake Miller would beat out Jalen Moore for the Chiefs' starting job.
Nick Shook · Position Order Calls · Francis Mauigoa · Close 71
Shook walks through their full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
Daniel Jeremiah · Position Order Calls · Spencer Fano · Close 71
Jeremiah's Mock Draft 3.0, discussed pick by pick: Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at 2, Francis Mauigoa to the Cardinals at 3, Jeremiyah Love to the Titans at 4, Sonny Styles to the Giants at 5, and on through the first round.