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Bobby Kownack#44 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 24, 2026

Predicts a 23-17 Jets win over Miami.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

43Close · out of 100

Dolphins 28–25What happenedcalled Jets by 6 · lost by 3

42.18A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

42.86This callout of 100

#44Bobby Kownack’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Bobby Kownack said

Our reading: New York Jets 23 — Dolphins 17

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Dolphins-Jets Week 7 National Predictions Roundup: Any More Miami Believers?
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 24
PlayedOct 25
GradedOct 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 42.9 out of 100, against 42.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Score Predictions New York Jets
New York Jets 23 — Dolphins 17
What happenedDolphins 28–25called Jets by 6 · lost by 3
42.86Close · naive 42.18
42.86this call42.18a naive guess0.68better than naive1.67difficulty+1.13skill
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5, total 39.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Jets win (by 6) and more points (40).
How this was scored
score:
28-25
skill:
1.13
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
42.18
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Dolphins at JetsDolphins 28Jets 2562 calls →

Who this take is about

New York Jets

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
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Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.

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