Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 18, 2026

Sullivan has Tampa Bay blowing out Cleveland, Green Bay winning narrowly at the Jets, and Philadelphia beating Tennessee by double digits.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
68.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
40A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#27Tyler Sullivan’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tyler Sullivan said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
This should be a double-digit win by Philadelphia.
Tyler Sullivan, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 2 odds, predictions, expert picks: Can blitz-heavy Vikings overtake Bears? Will Cards upset Seahawks?
The original
Read the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 18
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21
  1. 1Green Bay Packers 24 — Jets 21“Tyler Sullivan on why he has the Jets covering against the Packers, but Green Bay pulling out the 24-21 victory.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Titans 17“Tyler Sullivan on why he likes the Eagles taking down the Titans, 27-17.”
  3. 3Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — Browns 13“Tyler Sullivan on why he has the Buccaneers rolling over the Browns, 30-13.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Green Bay Packers 24 — Jets 211Score PredictionsPackers 20–1710041.63+113.24
Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Titans 172Score PredictionsEagles 24–2085.7139.25+90.15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — Browns 133Score PredictionsBrowns 23–1919.0539.25−39.19
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled68.340

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 68.3 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers 24 — Jets 21

    What happenedPackers 20–17called Packers by 3 · won by 3
    100Hit · naive 41.63
    100this call41.63a naive guess58.37better than naive1.94difficulty+113.24skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Packers by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 24–21 calls a closer game (Packers by 3) and more points (45). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    113.24
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    41.63
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Titans 17

    What happenedEagles 24–20called Eagles by 10 · won by 4
    85.71Hit · naive 39.25

    Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7, total 39.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 10) and more points (44).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    90.15
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    39.25
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    10
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Score PredictionsTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — Browns 13

    What happenedBrowns 23–19called Buccaneers by 17 · lost by 4
    19.05Miss · naive 39.25
    19.05this call39.25a naive guess−20.2worse than naive1.94difficulty−39.19skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Buccaneers by 8.5, total 41.5 · this 30–13 calls a bigger Buccaneers win (by 17) and more points (43).

    How this was scored
    score:
    23-19
    skill:
    −39.19
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    39.25
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    68.3naive 40

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these