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Ryan Scott HallJan 28, 2026

Ryan treats Fernando Mendoza going first overall to the Raiders as a foregone conclusion, expects Kendrick Faulk to test well at the combine and be drafted second to the Jets or third to the Cardinals, and picks the Seahawks over the Patriots in the Super Bowl.

Said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
25A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Ryan Scott Hall said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Falk is gonna go blow up the combine, and he's gonna end up, like, going two to the jets or three to the Cardinals.
Ryan Scott Hall, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
AHPKC 1/28: An Amateur's Guide to Pick No. 9 in the 2026 NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 28
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“I think everybody's gonna say the draft starts at two. You know, Mendoza to the Raiders feels like a foregone conclusion at this point.”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots“patriots are gonna fucking win 1713 or something. I don't think so. I think they got it.”
  3. 3B.J. to be picked “going two to the jets or three to the Cardinals”“Falk is gonna go blow up the combine, and he's gonna end up, like, going two to the jets or three to the Cardinals because he's gonna have all these measurables.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 11Mock Draft PicksWent 110050—
Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots2Game Outcome Picks—1000+100
B.J. to be picked “going two to the jets or three to the Cardinals”3Mock Draft Picks————
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting10025

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksB.J.

    B.J. to be picked “going two to the jets or three to the Cardinals”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 25

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