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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 5, 2025

Cowherd picks the Chiefs to beat the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX, citing Mahomes' record on game-winning drives and Steve Spagnuolo's ability to pressure Jalen Hurts. They also expect Riley Leonard and Kyle McCord to be drafted in the second-to-third round range and become decent starting quarterbacks.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed1 close call · 2 misses · all settled
18.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
And that's why I favor Kansas City.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Colin Cowherd Podcast - Super Bowl Preview, Where Do Chiefs Rank All Time? Luka To The Lakers, Myles Garrett Trade?
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–18, 2026
  1. 1Riley Leonard to be picked “second to third round” (picks 33–102)“I do believe that a Riley Leonard Kyle McCord in the second to third round could actually end up falling to good teams and actually being decent franchise quarterbacks.”
  2. 2Kyle McCord to be picked “second to third round” (picks 33–102)“I do believe that a Riley Leonard Kyle McCord in the second to third round could actually end up falling to good teams and actually being decent franchise quarterbacks.”
  3. 3Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl“We know this is going to be a coach, a Spags Fangio Reid Mahomes Hurts Nick Siriani game. And that's why I favor Kansas City.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Riley Leonard to be picked “second to third round” (picks 33–102)1Mock Draft PicksWent 1892.3150—
Kyle McCord to be picked “second to third round” (picks 33–102)2Mock Draft PicksWent 1813.2650—
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl3Super Bowl PicksPHI won it50500
3 calls · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled18.550

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 18.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
second to third round (picks 33–102)They said
189What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksRiley Leonard

    Riley Leonard to be picked “second to third round” (picks 33–102)

    What happenedWent 189
    2.31Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Riley Leonard
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    2.31
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    189
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    2.31
    predicted pick:
    second to third round (picks 33–102)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksKyle McCord

    Kyle McCord to be picked “second to third round” (picks 33–102)

    What happenedWent 181
    3.26Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kyle McCord
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    3.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    181
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    3.26
    predicted pick:
    second to third round (picks 33–102)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Super Bowl PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedPHI won itpicked KC
    50Close · naive 50
    50this call50a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    champion:
    PHI
    runner up:
    KC
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    18.5naive 50

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