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Michael David SmithNov 9, 2026

In a trade deadline tracker, they write that a Jonathan Taylor trade appears likely, with the Colts expected to take the best offer, while the Jets are not expected to move Garrett Wilson.

Published in writing · NBC SportsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Michael David Smith said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Jonathan Taylor trade appears likely
Michael David Smith, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
NBC Sports
The piece
2026 NFL Trade Deadline live updates: Tracker, deals, news, rumors, analysis
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Garrett Wilson to move — “not expected to be dealt; stays with the Jets”“The Jets have reportedly rebuffed Garrett Wilson trade interest : The Jets are not expected to deal their top wideout.”
  2. 2Jonathan Taylor to move — “trade appears likely”“Jonathan Taylor trade appears likely : The Colts are expected to take the best offer they get for Taylor.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Garrett Wilson to move — “not expected to be dealt; stays with the Jets”1Trade and Signing Calls————
Jonathan Taylor to move — “trade appears likely”2Trade and Signing Calls————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsGarrett Wilson

    Garrett Wilson to move — “not expected to be dealt; stays with the Jets”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsJonathan Taylor

    Jonathan Taylor to move — “trade appears likely”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.