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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 10, 2025

Eisen predicted the awards would split with Jonathan Taylor taking Offensive Player of the Year and Christian McCaffrey winning Comeback Player of the Year, said the NFC East belongs to the Eagles regardless of the Monday night result, and insisted Aaron Rodgers stays the Steelers' starter rather than Mason Rudolph.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 4calls landed3 hits · 1 miss · all settled
75Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Jonathan Taylor, best running back gets offensive player of the year, and Christian McCaffrey gets a highly deserved comeback player of the year award.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode
NFL Week 10: Pats are AFC's Best, JT Goes Off (Again), Daboll Giants' Future & More
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidNov 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Philadelphia Eagles to win the division“Eagles less so because that division, I think, is theirs regardless of a win or loss Monday night.”
  2. 2Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year“Jonathan Taylor, best running back gets offensive player of the year”
  3. 3Christian McCaffrey to win Comeback Player of the Year“Christian McCaffrey gets a highly deserved comeback player of the year award”
  4. 4Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart“Like, you're not benching Rodgers going into Chicago... Mason Rudolph is there in case of emergency.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division1Division Winners—1001000
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year2Award PicksJaxon Smith-Njigba won000
Christian McCaffrey to win Comeback Player of the Year3Award PicksChristian McCaffrey won1000+150
Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart CallsNo. 11001000
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · all settled7550

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 award picks, 1 depth chart call and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.5difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.5
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Award PicksJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

    Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year

    What happenedJaxon Smith-Njigba woncalled Jonathan Taylor
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.5difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jonathan Taylor
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Award PicksChristian McCaffrey

    Christian McCaffrey to win Comeback Player of the Year

    What happenedChristian McCaffrey won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.5difficulty+150skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    comeback_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
    skill:
    150
    player:
    Christian McCaffrey
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Christian McCaffrey
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsAaron RodgersPittsburgh Steelers

    Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.5difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Aaron Rodgers
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1.5
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    75naive 50

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