Anthony GarganoJan 10, 2026
Gargano also took Indiana over Miami as a mismatch, but split from Schwartz on wild card weekend by picking the Bears over the Packers and the Bills over the Jaguars, while liking the Patriots and Texans and ranking the Rams, Eagles and Bills as the top remaining contenders.
Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original
What Anthony Gargano said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think it's a mismatch.
- Where it was said
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)
- The episode
- The Fellas With Anthony Gargano & Geoff Schwartz talk Indiana’s Dominance in the CFP Semifinals, NFL Playoff Picks, and MORE!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJan 10
- GradedAug 13–17
- 1Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay“Without Micah, I think the Bears, Like, I think the Bears win the game”
- 2Houston Texans to beat Pittsburgh“so I would lean heavily to taking uh the Texans in this game”
- 3Power Rankings“I would have Buffalo third. I would go Rams, Eagles, Bills.”
- 4New England Patriots to beat Chargers“I can't see the Chargers missing both tackles being able to win this game. I just can't say it. I just think they're not gonna be able to hold up against the New England Front.”
- 5Buffalo Bills to beat Jacksonville“I came to in the game. I like Buffalo... but I mean I would be I would be disappointed if Buffalo lost.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Houston Texans to beat Pittsburgh2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| “I would have Buffalo third. I would go Rams, Eagles, Bills.”3 | Power Rankings | — | 75 | 0 | +75 | |
| New England Patriots to beat Chargers4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Buffalo Bills to beat Jacksonville5 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| 5 calls · 4 hits · 1 close call · all settled | 95 | 40 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive5 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 95 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 10): Packers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Bears 45%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 27-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans
Houston Texans to beat Pittsburgh
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillClosing line (Jan 12): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 58%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 30-6
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I would have Buffalo third. I would go Rams, Eagles, Bills.”
VerdictClose75Close · naive 075this call−0a naive guess=75better than naive×1difficulty=+75skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 75
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
4Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Chargers
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 11): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 64%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
5Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Jacksonville
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillClosing line (Jan 11): Jaguars by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 47%, Jaguars 53%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
95naive 40
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.