David Harrison#57 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 20, 2026
In their final mock draft Monday, Harrison has the Commanders trading back twice and selecting eight players: safety Dylan Thieneman at 16, WR Denzel Boston at 33, RB Mike Washington Jr. at 83, C Jagger Burton at 132, CB Julian Neal at 147, QB Cade Klubnik at 187, DB Lorenzo Styles Jr. at 209 and TE Riley Nowakowski in the seventh round.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast)Hear the original
What David Harrison said
Because the first pick that we make in this mock draft, pick number 16, Dylan Thieneman, safety out of Oregon.
- Where it was said
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)
- The episode
- BLOCKBUSTER TRADE: Commanders SHAKE UP 2026 Draft With Sonny Styles Off the Board [Mock Draft]
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 20
- GradedAug 14–18
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mock Draft Picks | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| All | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
How each call scored
12 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks and 4 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
8 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 31.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Mock Draft Picks3 close calls · 5 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Riley Nowakowski to be picked “seventh round pick” (picks 217–257)
“Riley Nowakowski out of Indiana... So he is the seventh round pick wrapping up this mock draft.”
Went 16912.5Missmock order 85.71 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.71 × 1 difficulty = +35.71 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Riley Nowakowski
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 12.5
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 169
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 12.5
- predicted pick:
- seventh round pick (picks 217–257)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
Lorenzo Styles to be picked at number 209
“Six round two zero nine, the next pick, Lorenzo Styles Junior. I'm calling him a DB.”
Went 172mocked at 20920.13Missmock order 85.71 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.71 × 1 difficulty = +35.71 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Lorenzo Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 20.13
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 172
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 20.13
- predicted pick:
- 209
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
Julian Neal to be picked at number 147
“Now at pick number one forty seven, we come back. Julian Neal, cornerback out of Arkansas.”
Went 99mocked at 14712.5Missmock order 85.71 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.71 × 1 difficulty = +35.71 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Julian Neal
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 12.5
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 99
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 12.5
- predicted pick:
- 147
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
Mike Washington to be picked at number 83
“with the third round pick at number 83, Mike Washington Junior running back out of Arkansas”
Went 122mocked at 8318.46Missmock order 85.71 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.71 × 1 difficulty = +35.71 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Mike Washington
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 18.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 122
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 18.46
- predicted pick:
- 83
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 33
“the Washington mayor is very happy to have him there at 33, and that is wide receiver Denzel Boston out of Washington”
Went 39mocked at 3377.11Closemock order 85.71 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.71 × 1 difficulty = +35.71 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Denzel Boston
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 33
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
Jager Burton to be picked at number 132
“with the one thirty second pick in the NFL draft, the Washington mayors take Jager Jagger Burton... center out of Kentucky”
Went 153mocked at 13240.26Closemock order 85.71 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.71 × 1 difficulty = +35.71 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Jager Burton
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 40.26
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 153
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 40.26
- predicted pick:
- 132
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
Cade Klubnik to be picked at number 187
“Six round pick number one eighty seven, quarterback, Cade Clubnik out of Clemson.”
Went 110mocked at 1873.56Missmock order 85.71 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.71 × 1 difficulty = +35.71 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Cade Klubnik
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 3.56
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 110
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 3.56
- predicted pick:
- 187
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 16
“the first pick that we make in this mock draft, pick number 16, Dylan Thieneman, safety out of Oregon. Great value at number 16.”
Went 25mocked at 1667.71Closemock order 85.71 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.71 × 1 difficulty = +35.71 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
Depth Chart Calls4 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Mike Washington to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Mike Washington junior, who I think will be slotted in as the third back”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Nick Allegretti to be 1st on the depth chart
“compete even, in year one with Nick Allegretti, though I would probably, project Nick Allegretti to win that battle”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Cade Klubnik to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Kave Clubnick, again, third quarterback right now, second quarterback of the future”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jager Burton to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Jagger Burton, I think he comes in, and you're gonna probably list him as your third center, but he's gonna compete for that second spot”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.