Pat GustavsonMar 2, 2026
Gustafson predicts Kyler Murray and Tua will be starters next year, that Malik Willis gets a shot to start, that Kenyon Saddiq goes as a top-10 pick and is the best tight end in the class, and that Jahmyr Gibbs will be a top-two fantasy pick — possibly No. 1 overall — next season.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)Hear the original
What Pat Gustavson said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI'm saying right now, at worst, Jameer Gibbs is a top two pick in Fantasy next year.
- Where it was said
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)
- The episode
- Combine Reactions, FA/Trade Rumors, & Keep 3 Cut 5 - Podcast for 3/2
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 2
- GradedAug 14
- 1Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board“Best tight end in the class.”
- 2Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 10 pick or or very close to it” (picks 1–10)“Kenyon Saddiq Mhmm. Of Oregon who will clearly be a top 10 pick or or very close to it.”
- 3Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart“I predicted last week that Tua and Kyler would be starters and I still believe that”
- 4Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart“Malik Willis will almost certainly That's right. Get a shot to start.”
- 5Maxx Crosby to move“As sad as it makes me, I think they need to do it just because he's not gonna be there when they peak... But, yeah, I think he's gotta go.”
- 6Fantasy Rankings“If the Lions do not bring in a significant running back, I'd take Jameer Gibbs over Bijon Robinson.”
- 7Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart“I predicted last week that Tua and Kyler would be starters and I still believe that, especially Kyler.”
- 8Aaron Jones to move“doesn't seem like Aaron Jones is gonna find a trade partner”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board1 | Position Order Calls | — | 100 | 15.51 | +84.49 | |
| Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 10 pick or or very close to it” (picks 1–10)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 16 | 77.11 | 50 | — | |
| Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Maxx Crosby to move5 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| “If the Lions do not bring in a significant running back, I'd…”6 | Fantasy Rankings | — | — | — | — | |
| Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart7 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Aaron Jones to move8 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 8 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 6 waiting | 88.6 | 32.8 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive8 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls, 2 trade and signing calls, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 88.6 out of 100, against 32.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
1Position Order CallsKenyon Sadiq
Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 15.51100this call−15.51a naive guess=84.49better than naive×1difficulty=+84.49skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51
- skill:
- 84.49
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 15.51
- position:
- tight end
- class size:
- 22
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 10 pick or or very close to it” (picks 1–10)
What happenedWent 1677.11Close · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- top 10 pick or or very close to it (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
3Depth Chart CallsTua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Depth Chart CallsMalik Willis
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Trade and Signing CallsMaxx Crosby
Maxx Crosby to move
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“If the Lions do not bring in a significant running back, I'd take Jameer Gibbs over Bijon Robinson.”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Depth Chart CallsKyler Murray
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
8Trade and Signing CallsAaron Jones
Aaron Jones to move
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
88.6naive 32.8
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Justin Penik · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Jones · Hit 100
Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants.Nick Wright · Mock Draft Picks · Kenyon Sadiq · Hit 96
Nick Wright unveiled their full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. They also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.Danny Parkins · Mock Draft Picks · Kenyon Sadiq · Hit 92
Danny Parkins presented their one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.David Harrison · Mock Draft Picks · Kenyon Sadiq · Hit 88
Harrison delivers their only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.Brandon Carney · Mock Draft Picks · Kenyon Sadiq · Close 62
Co-hosting a mock draft, Carney made the odd-numbered picks: Fernando Mendoza No. 1 to the Raiders, Arvell Reese No. 3 to the Cardinals, Sonny Styles No. 5 to the Giants, Mekhi Lemon No. 7 to the Commanders, Caleb Downs No. 9 to the Chiefs, and more. They also predicted AJ Brown will be a Patriot, said Kenyan Saddiq will be the first-round bust, and picked the Bengals to finish ahead of the Ravens in the AFC North.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.