Pat Gustavson· Mar 2, 2026
Gustafson predicts Kyler Murray and Tua will be starters next year, that Malik Willis gets a shot to start, that Kenyon Saddiq goes as a top-10 pick and is the best tight end in the class, and that Jahmyr Gibbs will be a top-two fantasy pick — possibly No. 1 overall — next season.
“I'm saying right now, at worst, Jameer Gibbs is a top two pick in Fantasy next year.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) · read the original →
8 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls, 2 trade and signing calls, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 88.6 out of 100, against 32.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Position Order CallsKenyon SadiqMar 2, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board
“Best tight end in the class.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15.51+84.49 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51
- skill:
- 84.49
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 15.51
- position:
- tight end
- class size:
- 22
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqMar 2, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 10 pick or or very close to it” (picks 1–10)
“Kenyon Saddiq Mhmm. Of Oregon who will clearly be a top 10 pick or or very close to it.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- top 10 pick or or very close to it (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Depth Chart CallsTua TagovailoaMar 2, 2026
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
“I predicted last week that Tua and Kyler would be starters and I still believe that”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsAaron JonesMar 2, 2026
Aaron Jones to move
“doesn't seem like Aaron Jones is gonna find a trade partner”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy RankingsMar 2, 2026
“If the Lions do not bring in a significant running back, I'd take Jameer Gibbs over Bijon Robinson.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsMaxx CrosbyMar 2, 2026
Maxx Crosby to move
“As sad as it makes me, I think they need to do it just because he's not gonna be there when they peak... But, yeah, I think he's gotta go.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsMalik WillisMar 2, 2026
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
“Malik Willis will almost certainly That's right. Get a shot to start.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayMar 2, 2026
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
“I predicted last week that Tua and Kyler would be starters and I still believe that, especially Kyler.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Scott KennedyRoster Spot Calls · Tua TagovailoaHit · 100Kennedy reports that Atlanta is expected to keep three quarterbacks on its 53-man roster: Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr., and undrafted rookie Jack Strand.
- Alain PoupartRoster Spot Calls · Malik WillisHit · 100Poupart sorts the Dolphins roster into tiers ahead of the 53-man cutdown, naming 28 players as locks to make the roster and eight more as borderline locks who more than likely make it. He also expects Quinn Ewers to be the No. 2 quarterback behind Malik Willis, and says Darrell Baker Jr. and Storm Duck will start the season on PUP.
- Alain PoupartRoster Spot Calls · Malik WillisHit · 100Poupart's third 53-man roster projection of 2026 for the Dolphins names which players make the roster and which are cut at each position group.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Aaron JonesHit · 100In previewing the 10 most intriguing fantasy performers of Week 2, Fitzmaurice expects Atlanta's quarterback problems to persist with Tua Tagovailoa unlikely to play and Michael Penix Jr. not ready to return, flags Falcons slot corner Billy Bowman Jr. as a possible Week 2 returnee, and describes Aaron Jones as Minnesota's lead back and Kaelon Black as the clear backup to Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco.
- Rich HribarDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonTrade and Signing Calls · Kyler MurrayMiss · 0Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Jonah ColemanMiss · 0In his Week 3 waiver column, Fitzmaurice makes several depth-chart calls around injuries: Jonah Coleman leading Denver's backfield, Marcus Mariota taking over in Washington, Michael Penix Jr. starting once healthy, and Malik Washington serving as Miami's top receiver, plus availability expectations for Detroit's injured safeties.
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Hit · 100Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay.
- Matt SeveranceDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.
- Bradley LockerDepth Chart Calls · Carson WentzHit · 100PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Miss · 0In a Week 1 recap with no named byline, CBS Sports suggested Michael Penix Jr. would take over as Atlanta's Week 2 starter if healthy, called Ashton Jeanty's sophomore breakout imminent, and warned readers not to overlook San Francisco as NFC West winners.