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Brandon CarneyApr 22, 2026

Co-hosting a mock draft, Carney made the odd-numbered picks: Fernando Mendoza No. 1 to the Raiders, Arvell Reese No. 3 to the Cardinals, Sonny Styles No. 5 to the Giants, Mekhi Lemon No. 7 to the Commanders, Caleb Downs No. 9 to the Chiefs, and more. They also predicted AJ Brown will be a Patriot, said Kenyan Saddiq will be the first-round bust, and picked the Bengals to finish ahead of the Ravens in the AFC North.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)Hear the original

7 of 18calls landed7 hits · 10 close calls · 1 miss · 4 waiting
75.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 18 calls
47.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
18 of 22Settled4 still waiting
4Waitingnot graded yet

What Brandon Carney said

Fernando Mendoza, number one overall pick to the Las Vegas Raiders, kicking off what is gonna be a new era for them.
Brandon Carney, the lead quote
The episode
Full First Round Mock Draft + Latest NFL News - Podcast for 4/22
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 22
  2. GradedSep 18–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks61010
Trade and Signing Calls1000
Draft Bust Calls0001
Power Rankings0001
Playoff Picks0002
All71014

How each call scored

22 checkable claims — 17 mock draft picks, 2 playoff picks, 1 draft bust call, 1 power ranking and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 36 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

18 of 22 have settled so far, averaging 75.7 out of 100, against 47.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
13They said
6What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks6 hits · 10 close calls · 1 missShow ▸
  1. Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 13

    “I guess they might go to Delaine here... I'll go with the lane.”

    Mansoor DelaneLos Angeles Rams

    Went 6mocked at 13
    73.84Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15

    “we are going with Akeem Mesador”

    Akheem MesidorTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Went 22mocked at 15
    73.84Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9

    “Caleb Downs goes to the Chiefs”

    Caleb DownsKansas City Chiefs

    Went 11mocked at 9
    91.7Hit

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Colton Hood to be picked at number 29

    “I'll go Collin Hood here. Just to just positional need.”

    Colton HoodKansas City Chiefs

    Went 37mocked at 29
    70.71Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Colton Hood
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    37
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17

    “the way this has fallen, they get Fano”

    Spencer FanoDetroit Lions

    Went 9mocked at 17
    70.71Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 23

    “The Philadelphia Eagles at 23... we're going with mister EMW, Emmanuel McNeil Warren.”

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenPhiladelphia Eagles

    Went 58mocked at 23
    21.95Miss

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    21.95
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    58
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    21.95
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  7. K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 20

    “So I'm gonna put KC Concepcion.”

    K.C. ConcepcionCarolina Panthers

    Went 24mocked at 20
    84.09Hit

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    24
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    “I'm going with Arvell Reese at three.”

    Arvell ReeseArizona Cardinals

    Went 5mocked at 3
    91.7Hit

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    “New York Giants here at number five... despite what I said about Sonny Styles, I am gonna pick him here.”

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    Went 7mocked at 5
    91.7Hit

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Makai Lemon to be picked at number 7

    “the best receiver on the board is Mckay Lemon, and I'm gonna give them Mckay Lemon”

    Makai LemonWashington Commanders

    Went 20mocked at 7
    56.94Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 27

    “Kenyan Saddique's a 40 niner, baby... this was the kind of move that Shanahan wanted to make here at 27”

    Kenyon SadiqSan Francisco 49ers

    Went 16mocked at 27
    62.09Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 19

    “then we're we're gonna go with Thiemann”

    Dillon ThienemanMinnesota Vikings

    Went 25mocked at 19
    77.11Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Dillon Thieneman
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    19
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 11

    “Miami Dolphins here at number 11... I'll go Francis Mahoney now.”

    Francis MauigoaMiami Dolphins

    Went 10mocked at 11
    95.76Hit

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  14. T.J. Parker to be picked at number 25

    “Let's go TJ Parker here from Clemson. He's going to the Chicago Baez at twenty five.”

    T.J. ParkerChicago Bears

    Went 35mocked at 25
    64.84Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    T.J. Parker
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    35
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    25
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  15. Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 31

    “The New England Patriots at number 31... I'm gonna go with with Iron Eagle. Tackle.”

    Max IheanachorNew England Patriots

    Went 21mocked at 31
    64.84Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Max Iheanachor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    21
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  16. Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “Fernando Mendoza, number one overall pick to the Las Vegas Raiders”

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 1mocked at 1
    100Hit

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
  17. Ty Simpson to be picked at number 21

    “Ty Simpson, 21 overall.”

    Ty SimpsonPittsburgh Steelers

    Went 13mocked at 21
    70.71Close

    mock order 86.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 36.89 × 1 difficulty = +36.89 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    36.89
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    86.89
    Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls1 hitShow ▸
  1. A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots

    “Sounds like everybody's in in the league is pretty much operating under the assumption that AJ Brown is going to be a Patriot.”

    A.J. BrownNew England Patriots

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    A.J. Brown
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    NE
    was with:
    PHI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → NE (from PHI)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Draft Bust Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Kenyon Sadiq to disappoint at the next level

    “I'll go Kenyan Saddiq. I'll say Saddiq. He's the one that kinda concerns me the most.”

    Kenyon Sadiq

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Power Rankings1 waitingShow ▸
  1. “Browns are last. Steelers are third... I'll go with the Bengals just with the just as, Ty pointed out, continuity sake.”

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Playoff Picks2 waitingShow ▸
  1. Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs

    “I think them and the Ravens will both be fighting for that and we'll both make the play”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    “I think them and the Ravens will both be fighting for that and we'll both make the play”

    Baltimore Ravens

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

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