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Terrell Furman JrJul 17, 2025

Furman predicts a breakout for Broncos WR Marvin Mims Jr. in Sean Payton's offense, says Bills signee Joshua Palmer will badly outperform their WR69 price, and calls Patriots TE Hunter Henry a reliable top-12/13 fantasy tight end who is going far too cheaply at TE19.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 3 misses · all settled
31.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
52.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Terrell Furman Jr said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So I think Marvin Mims is going to be way better than wide receiver forty nine A fifty nine.
Terrell Furman Jr, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
The episode
FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Sleepers That Will BLOW UP in 2025 (Ep. 1615)
The original
Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJul 16, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–19, 2026
  1. 1Hunter Henry to outplay his draft cost (tightend nineteen)“and now he's tightend nineteen... He is a number one tight end and he's going all the way dirt cheap in the back of the rounds.”
  2. 2Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty nine A fifty nine)“So I think Marvin Mims is going to be way better than wide receiver forty nine A fifty nine.”
  3. 3Josh Palmer to outplay his draft cost (Wide receiver sixty nine)“He doesn't have to go out here and be a top ten wide receiver for him to outperform wide receiver sixty nine. So I think Josh Palmer is gonna have a great year.”
  4. 4Hunter Henry to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points“Clearly we see his ceiling or the floor that is the floor is tight end swell tight end thirteen. He is a number one tight end”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Hunter Henry to outplay his draft cost (tightend nineteen)1Sleeper Calls—1000+200
Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty nine A fifty nine)2Sleeper Calls—0100−200
Josh Palmer to outplay his draft cost (Wide receiver sixty nine)3Sleeper Calls—0100−200
Hunter Henry to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points4Positional FinishesFinished #4258.33+33.33
4 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · all settled31.352.1

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 sleeper calls and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 31.3 out of 100, against 52.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Sleeper CallsHunter HenryNew England Patriots

    Hunter Henry to outplay his draft cost (tightend nineteen)

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    tightend nineteen
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Hunter Henry
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    TE
    had to beat:
    TE15
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    TE4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Sleeper CallsMarvin Mims Jr.Denver Broncos

    Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty nine A fifty nine)

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    wide receiver forty nine A fifty nine
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Marvin Mims Jr.
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    WR
    had to beat:
    WR52
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    WR70
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Sleeper CallsJosh PalmerBuffalo Bills

    Josh Palmer to outplay his draft cost (Wide receiver sixty nine)

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    Wide receiver sixty nine
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Josh Palmer
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    WR
    had to beat:
    WR76
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    WR114
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Positional FinishesHunter HenryNew England Patriots

    Hunter Henry to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points

    What happenedFinished #4called #13 · by fantasy points
    25Miss · naive 8.33
    25this call8.33a naive guess16.67better than naive2difficulty+33.33skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    33.33
    player:
    Hunter Henry
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    8.33
    position:
    TE
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    15
    actual finish:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    31.3naive 52.1

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