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Richard Sherman#43 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2025

Sherman previewed every division: they picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. They picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.

Said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 23calls landed5 hits · 6 close calls · 12 misses · 4 waiting · 1 too vague to check
38Average accuracyout of 100, across 23 calls
29.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
23 of 28Settled4 still waiting · 1 too vague to check
#43Richard Sherman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Richard Sherman said

I think Seattle wins the division in a tie record wise with the San Francisco forty nine ers, but it's gonna be a close tiebreaker.
Richard Sherman, the lead quote
The episode
Richard Sherman Podcast - NFL 2025 Predictions: NFC West Champs: 49ers or Seahawks, Packers Rising, Eagles-Chiefs Super Bowl Rematch?
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–Sep 18, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

How each call scored

28 claims — 10 season win totals, 6 division winners, 3 surprise team calls, 2 conference champions, 2 playoff picks, 1 award pick, 1 depth chart call, 1 positional finish, 1 power ranking and 1 super bowl pick — the 27 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 21 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

23 of the 27 calls we can check have settled so far, averaging 38 out of 100, against 29.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins
12–13 wins (12–13 wins)They said
9What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Season Win Totals2 hits · 3 close calls · 3 misses · 1 waiting · 1 too vague to checkShow ▸
  1. Green Bay Packers to finish with 12–13 wins

    “the Packers won eleven games with with the roster they had, and I think they've gotten better. I think they can win twelve or thirteen games this season.”

    Green Bay Packers

    9called 12–13 wins
    40Close

    40 − 85 naive = −45 × 2 difficulty = −90 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    naive:
    9.75
    skill:
    −90
    what happened:
    9
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    40
    baseline:
    85
    they said:
    12–13 wins (12–13 wins)
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Washington Commanders to finish with 9–10 wins

    “so I think they got nine to ten wins in them”

    Washington Commanders

    5called 9–10 wins
    20Miss

    20 − 0 naive = 20 × 2 difficulty = +40 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    WAS
    naive:
    10.25
    skill:
    40
    what happened:
    5
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    20
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    9–10 wins (9–10 wins)
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. New York Giants to finish with 8–9 wins

    “I think they they they get eight to nine wins in this division.”

    New York Giants

    4called 8–9 wins
    20Miss

    20 − 65 naive = −45 × 2 difficulty = −90 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    NYG
    naive:
    5.75
    skill:
    −90
    what happened:
    4
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    20
    baseline:
    65
    they said:
    8–9 wins (8–9 wins)
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 8–9 wins

    “I would expect them to be around eight to nine wins and have a chance”

    Las Vegas Raiders

    3called 8–9 wins
    0Miss

    0 − 35 naive = −35 × 2 difficulty = −70 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LV
    naive:
    6.25
    skill:
    −70
    what happened:
    3
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    35
    they said:
    8–9 wins (8–9 wins)
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins

    “I think Seattle has enough to make the jump and to do that and win eleven games.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    14called 11
    40Close

    40 − 5 naive = 35 × 2 difficulty = +70 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    SEA
    naive:
    9.25
    skill:
    70
    what happened:
    14
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    40
    baseline:
    5
    they said:
    11
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins

    “I think they both win eleven games, and they're tied for the division, but the edge goes to the Seattle Seahawks.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    12called 11
    80Hit

    80 − 5 naive = 75 × 2 difficulty = +150 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    SF
    naive:
    7.25
    skill:
    150
    what happened:
    12
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    5
    they said:
    11
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins

    “he went won ten games last year and he'll find a way to win ten games this year”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    10called 10
    100Hit

    100 − 85 naive = 15 × 2 difficulty = +30 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    naive:
    9.25
    skill:
    30
    what happened:
    10
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    85
    they said:
    10
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins

    “Won ten games last year, I expect him to win ten games again this year, potentially eleven”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    8called 10
    60Close

    60 − 75 naive = −15 × 2 difficulty = −30 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    TB
    naive:
    9.25
    skill:
    −30
    what happened:
    8
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    60
    baseline:
    75
    they said:
    10
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. “But I think they'll win eight nine games.”

    New England Patriots

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  10. “as long as they have Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid and Spags on the defense, they're gonna win eleven twelve games”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    —Too vague to check

    Too vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.

Depth Chart Calls1 close callShow ▸
  1. Marques Sigle to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I think they really like uh Marquis Singh in the in the back end. I think he'll he'll start.”

    Marques SigleSan Francisco 49ers

    No. 4called No. 1 · by defensive snaps
    75Close

    75 − 83.33 naive = −8.33 × 2 difficulty = −16.67 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    −16.67
    player:
    Marques Sigle
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    75
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    S
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    4
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    defensive snaps
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Division Winners2 hits · 4 missesShow ▸
  1. Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    “I think Seattle wins the division in a tie record wise with the San Francisco forty nine ers”

    Seattle Seahawks

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    “So I expect them to win this division easily going away.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Kansas City Chiefs to win the division

    “If I'm not gonna say somebody else's winning the AFC West, I'm not gonna do that.”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Detroit Lions to win the division

    “I got Detroit winning the division with Green Bay right there on their heels”

    Detroit Lions

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Buffalo Bills to win the division

    “I just don't see this division being anything but the Buffalo Bill's winning by multiple games.”

    Buffalo Bills

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    “No matter what is gonna rise in the East, it's gonna set in the West, and the Butts are gonna win the South. That's the way it's been, and I expect them to only be stronger this year.”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions2 missesShow ▸
  1. Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl

    “I got them winning an NFC unless some drastic injury news happens to their major players.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    NE and SEA wonpicked PHI
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl

    “So I got the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    NE and SEA wonpicked KC
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks1 hit · 1 missShow ▸
  1. Denver Broncos to make the playoffs

    “But I think their second I think they make the playoffs and I think they they give people a run for their money.”

    Denver Broncos

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DEN
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Washington Commanders to make the playoffs

    “I think they go to the playoffs.”

    Washington Commanders

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Positional Finishes1 close callShow ▸
  1. Nico Collins to finish top 5 at his position, by receiving yards

    “a healthy Nicocollins, I think he's a top five receiver in the National Football League if he's healthy”

    Nico CollinsHouston Texans

    Finished #8called #5 · by receiving yards
    75Close

    75 − 8.33 naive = 66.67 × 2 difficulty = +133.33 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    133.33
    player:
    Nico Collins
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    75
    baseline:
    8.33
    position:
    WR
    ranked by:
    receiving yards
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    19
    actual finish:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    5
    Think this is wrong?
Power Rankings1 close callShow ▸
  1. “Top five power Ranks National Football League we're gonna go Philadelphia Eagles won, Baltimore two, Bill's three, Kansas City four or Detroit five.”

    65Close

    65 − 40 naive = 25 × 2 difficulty = +50 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    65
    baseline:
    40
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Award Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. Joe Burrow to win MVP

    “Give me Joe Burrow.”

    Joe BurrowCincinnati Bengals

    Matthew Stafford woncalled Joe Burrow
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Joe Burrow
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

    “I would say the Philadelphia Eagles go back to back.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    SEA won itpicked PHI
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls3 waitingShow ▸
  1. Tennessee Titans to beat expectations

    “I think they surprise some people and and and win some games they shouldn't.”

    Tennessee Titans

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Seattle Seahawks to beat expectations

    “defensively, I think the Seattle Seahawks are gonna surprise a lot of people if they can stay healthy”

    Seattle Seahawks

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Chicago Bears to beat expectations

    “But I think they're going to be better. Their defense is stout... so they may be a sneaky team.”

    Chicago Bears

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.