Gilberto Manzano· Oct 15, 2026
Manzano picked all 14 Week 6 games, including the Titans over the Colts, the Saints over the Giants and the Panthers over the Eagles.
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
14 checkable claims — 14 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 14 have settled, averaging 71.4 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Seahawks at Broncos 51 calls
- Texans at Jaguars 33 calls
- Jets at Patriots 24 calls
- Titans at Colts 42 calls
- Ravens at Browns 21 calls
- Panthers at Eagles 23 calls
- Steelers at Buccaneers 20 calls
- Saints at Giants 22 calls
- Bears at Falcons 25 calls
- Cardinals at Rams 33 calls
- Chargers at Chiefs 30 calls
- Bills at Raiders 23 calls
- Cowboys at Packers 36 calls
- Commanders at 49ers 27 calls
14 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 15, 2026
San Francisco 49ers to beat Commanders
“Commanders at 49ers — Gilberto Manzano: 49ers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 17-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 19): 49ers by 7.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsOct 15, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Raiders
“Bills at Raiders — Gilberto Manzano: Bills”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 33-30
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Bills by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (68%).
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 15, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys
“Cowboys at Packers — Gilberto Manzano: Packers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 13-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Cowboys 51%, Packers 49%.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 15, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Chargers
“Chargers at Chiefs — Gilberto Manzano: Chiefs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 6-22
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Chiefs by 7.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (79%).
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersOct 15, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Buccaneers
“Steelers at Buccaneers — Gilberto Manzano: Steelers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 26-19
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Steelers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 56%.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 15, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals
“Cardinals at Rams — Gilberto Manzano: Rams”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ARI
- score:
- 18-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%).
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 15, 2026
Chicago Bears to beat Falcons
“Bears at Falcons — Gilberto Manzano: Bears”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 31-23
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 52%, Falcons 48%.
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsOct 15, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans
“Texans vs. Jaguars (London, England) — Gilberto Manzano: Jaguars”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 34-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars 56%.
- Game Outcome PicksTennessee TitansOct 15, 2026
Tennessee Titans to beat Colts
“Titans at Colts — Gilberto Manzano: Titans”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TEN
- score:
- 26-20
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- TEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · underdog pick, Titans 28%.
- Game Outcome PicksNew Orleans SaintsOct 15, 2026
New Orleans Saints to beat Giants
“Saints at Giants — Gilberto Manzano: Saints”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NO
- score:
- 34-27
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): a toss-up, about even (Saints 50%, Giants 50%).
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 15, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Jets
“Jets at Patriots — Gilberto Manzano: Patriots”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 19-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Patriots by 7.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensOct 15, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to beat Browns
“Ravens at Browns — Gilberto Manzano: Ravens”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CLE
- score:
- 10-13
- skill:
- −172
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 60%.
- Game Outcome PicksCarolina PanthersOct 15, 2026
Carolina Panthers to beat Eagles
“Panthers at Eagles — Gilberto Manzano: Panthers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CAR
- score:
- 25-14
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Panthers by 3 · favorite pick, Panthers 59%.
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 15, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos
“Seahawks at Broncos — Gilberto Manzano: Seahawks”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 14-17
- skill:
- −172
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jared KochGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win.
- Eric ManginiGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.
- Donte JohnsonGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0The former NFL safety picked the Buccaneers to upset the Bears in their Week 9 matchup, arguing Todd Bowles' defense would frustrate Caleb Williams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
- John ShipleyGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Shipley expects Jacksonville to keep Brian Thomas Jr. at the trade deadline while adding two defenders, most likely Derrick Brown, and he thinks the winless Chargers will again come up short against Houston in Week 9.