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Ross Jackson· Feb 26, 2026

Previewing the 2026 edge rusher combine class for the Saints, Jackson pegged Arvell Reese as a possible top-two pick, put Akeem Mesidore in the late first/early second round range, gave Romello Height a Day 2-to-fourth-round range, and predicted Derek Carr would unretire and be traded away from New Orleans for roughly fifth-round value.

“He's gonna lead off this list because he might be one of the first players off the board as early as the second pick in this draft.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
second, third, fourth round (picks 33–140)They said
70What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Romello Height to be picked “second, third, fourth round” (picks 33–140)

    “But, man, like, second, third, fourth round, wherever it is that he goes, could be a good investment.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Romello Height
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    70
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    second, third, fourth round (picks 33–140)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Akheem Mesidor to be picked “could sneak it to the bottom of the first round, could be there at the top of day two” (picks 1–32)

    “This is a guy that could sneak it to the bottom of the first round, could be there at the top of day two as well.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    could sneak it to the bottom of the first round, could be there at the top of day two (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arvell Reese to be picked “as early as the second pick in this draft”

    “So he's gonna lead off this list because he might be one of the first players off the board as early as the second pick in this draft.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Derek Carr to move

    “There's no future for Derek Carr in New Orleans. He ain't gonna be a saint. And so you ship them off for what it is that you can get”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More mock draft picks

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