Jason FitzMar 1, 2026

Fitz predicts Anthony Richardson will be released rather than traded by the Colts.

Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100

3 weeks on a 53What happenedsettled

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

−200Skillafter difficulty

What Jason Fitz said

I think he's going to get cut. I don't think he's going to get traded.

Our reading: Anthony Richardson to be cut

Where it was said: Fox Sports Radio (podcast)
The episode: Buck & Fitz Break Down the NFL Scouting Combine, Report Cards & More!
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidFeb 28
GradedSep 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Roster Spot Calls Anthony Richardson Indianapolis Colts
Anthony Richardson to be cut
What happened3 weeks on a 53
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
−200
player:
Anthony Richardson
season:
2026
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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