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Shannon Sharpe#42 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 1, 2026

Sharpe picked against Joe's Cowboys in Week 4 against Houston, then saw Dallas beating Tampa Bay the following week before losing to Green Bay on Sunday night. They also floated Buffalo as a good fit for free agent Tyreek Hill because of its improvising quarterback.

Said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 misses · 1 waiting
33.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#42Shannon Sharpe’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Shannon Sharpe said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Okay, y'all going to lose this week.
Shannon Sharpe, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Nightcap (podcast)
The episode
Nightcap Hour 2: NFL Week 4 QB POWER Rankings + Tyreek Hill HINTS Potential LANDING Spots + Sean McVay says NFL Told Rams DPI Was WRONG + Piston REMOVE Weight CLAUSE From Duren’s CONTRACT
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidOct 1
  2. PlayedOct 4–18
  3. GradedOct 5–19
  1. 1Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys“I think Green Bay going to spring. Oh, that's a Sunday night game. Oh, Green Bay got y'all.”
  2. 2Dallas Cowboys to beat Tampa“Next week, y'all beat Tampa.”
  3. 3Houston Texans to beat Cowboys“We get to Texas this week. Okay, y'all going to lose this week.”
  4. 4Tyreek Hill to move to Buffalo Bills“Hey, with them dual quarterbacks, I like him in Buffalo, too. With quarterbacks who can improvise and work outside the pocket, I think that works great for Tyreek Hill, bro.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys1Game Outcome PicksPackers 23–131001000
Dallas Cowboys to beat Tampa2Game Outcome PicksBuccaneers 24–16000
Houston Texans to beat Cowboys3Game Outcome PicksCowboys 34–30000
Tyreek Hill to move to Buffalo Bills4Trade and Signing Calls————
4 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · 1 waiting33.333.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys

    What happenedPackers 23–13Cowboys at Packers
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.83difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    13-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Tampa

    What happenedBuccaneers 24–16Buccaneers at Cowboys
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.83difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    24-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Cowboys

    What happenedCowboys 34–30Cowboys at Texans
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.83difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 4): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 58%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    34-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsTyreek HillBuffalo Bills

    Tyreek Hill to move to Buffalo Bills

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    33.3naive 33.3

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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