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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 9, 2024

Brockman argues the Falcons must turn the quarterback job over to Michael Penix in place of Kirk Cousins.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

92Hit · out of 100

No. 2What happenedcalled No. 1 · by passing yards

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

91.67This callout of 100

#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

The Falcons go to Pennicks. Have to start Michael Pennicks.

Our reading: Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 14: Rams Are The Biggest Challenge To The Lions Winning The NFC
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidDec 9, 2024
GradedAug 14, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 91.7 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said

2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Depth Chart Calls Michael Penix Jr.Atlanta Falcons
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
91.67Hit · naive 100
91.67this call100a naive guess−8.33worse than naive1.28difficulty−10.67skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
−10.67
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.28
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
5
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.
Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.
JP Acosta · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.
Gregg Rosenthal · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.
Parker Hurley · Trade and Signing Calls · Jessie Bates · Miss 0
Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and they expect 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season.
Carter Bahns · Score Predictions · Atlanta Falcons · Miss 19
Bahns predicts a high-scoring Madrid game in which Atlanta's more reliable defense, bolstered by the return of pass rusher James Pearce Jr., gets the edge over Cincinnati, with the Falcons winning 34-30.

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Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace them as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut.

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