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Shannon Sharpe#42 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 21, 2025

Sharpe places Jalen Hurts fifth among NFL quarterbacks, refusing to drop them out of their top five/top ten. They also predict Lamar Jackson will become the NFL's highest-paid player, exceeding Josh Allen's deal, and calls Jackson one of the three best quarterbacks in the league. They pick prime LaDainian Tomlinson over prime Adrian Peterson and says Miami-era LeBron was LeBron's peak.

Said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · all settled
4.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#42Shannon Sharpe’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Shannon Sharpe said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
If you say he's top five, he's five, because I'm not... I'm not getting him out of the top five.
Shannon Sharpe, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Nightcap (podcast)
The episode
Nightcap Hour 2: Unc & Ocho react to Cam Newton leaving Jalen Hurts out of the Top 10 QBs
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJul 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 6, 2026
  1. 1Lamar Jackson to finish top 3 at his position, by passing yards“He one of the three best quarterbacks in the NFL.”
  2. 2Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards“I don't think I would he's five. If you say he's top five, he's five... I'm not getting him out of the top five”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Lamar Jackson to finish top 3 at his position, by passing yards1Positional FinishesFinished #23000
Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards2Positional FinishesFinished #168.3366.67−116.67
2 calls · 2 misses · all settled4.233.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 4.2 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
3They said
23What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Positional FinishesLamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens

    Lamar Jackson to finish top 3 at his position, by passing yards

    What happenedFinished #23called #3 · by passing yards
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Lamar Jackson
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    passing yards
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    6
    actual finish:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Positional FinishesJalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards

    What happenedFinished #16called #5 · by passing yards
    8.33Miss · naive 66.67
    8.33this call66.67a naive guess−58.34worse than naive2difficulty−116.67skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −116.67
    player:
    Jalen Hurts
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    8.33
    baseline:
    66.67
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    passing yards
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    20
    actual finish:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    5
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    4.2naive 33.3

Others on the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.