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Jonas Knox#69 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 31, 2025

Knox made against-the-spread picks for five NFL games, taking the Lions, Steelers, Falcons, Texans and Bills, and reiterated the Ravens as their Super Bowl pick.

Said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed3 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#69Jonas Knox’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jonas Knox said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
They were my Super Bowl pick.
Jonas Knox, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: Jonas, LaVar & Brady - Football Beats Trick-or-Treating, Week 9 Picks
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 31, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl“They were my Super Bowl pick. I hope they go on a heater.”
  2. 2Houston Texans to beat Broncos“I'll take Houston. I think they're going to go two in a row here... I'll take the Texans at home.”
  3. 3Indianapolis Colts to beat Steelers“I'll take Pittsburgh plus three... I think they're probably still going to lose this game, just not by more than two and a half.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl1Super Bowl PicksSEA won it000
Houston Texans to beat Broncos2Game Outcome Picks—000
Indianapolis Colts to beat Steelers3Game Outcome Picks—0100−156
3 calls · 3 misses · all settled033.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Super Bowl PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked BAL
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.56difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Broncos

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.56difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 2): Texans by 1.5 · a toss-up, Broncos 47%, Texans 53%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    18-15
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis Colts

    Indianapolis Colts to beat Steelers

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.56difficulty−156skill

    Closing line (Nov 2): Colts by 3.5 · favorite pick, Colts 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    20-27
    skill:
    −156
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 33.3

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