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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 1, 2025

Cowherd says New England and Tennessee will obviously double their win totals this season, names New England (and Chicago) as their annual "double your win total" pick, and thinks the Bears can win ten or eleven games in a weaker-than-advertised NFC North.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 3 waiting
80Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
15A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 4Settled3 still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think it's obvious New England and Tennessee are going to double their win total.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Best Of: Caleb Williams & Predictions For The Chicago Bears
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 1, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins“I think the Bears have an opportunity to win ten or eleven games. I don't think it's as good a division as people think.”
  2. 2New England Patriots to beat expectations“I think it's obvious New England and Tennessee are going to double their win total... I've done four years in a row where I've picked the double your win team. It's going to be New England this year, and and Chicago”
  3. 3Tennessee Titans to beat expectations“I think it's obvious New England and Tennessee are going to double their win total.”
  4. 4Chicago Bears to beat expectations“I've done four years in a row where I've picked the double your win team. It's going to be New England this year, and and Chicago”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins1Season Win Totals118015+130
New England Patriots to beat expectations2Surprise Team Calls————
Tennessee Titans to beat expectations3Surprise Team Calls————
Chicago Bears to beat expectations4Surprise Team Calls————
4 calls · 1 hit · 3 waiting8015

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 surprise team calls and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 80 out of 100, against 15 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins
10They said
11What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Season Win TotalsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins

    What happened11called 10
    80Hit · naive 15
    80this call15a naive guess65better than naive2difficulty+130skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    naive:
    6.75
    skill:
    130
    what happened:
    11
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    15
    they said:
    10
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Surprise Team CallsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Surprise Team CallsTennessee Titans

    Tennessee Titans to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Surprise Team CallsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More surprise team calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.