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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
251–275 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top five quarterback. Jags are legit Super Bowl contenders.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
But all that said, you know, the Steelers should make the playoffs. They should, if they do, host a playoff game.
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl
So I I can't push back on this that they're a team of destiny and they're winning the NFC.
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl
The bears, Rich, they're a team of destiny. They're gonna win the NFC.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
The Steelers and Mike Tomlin are gonna end their playoff win drought.
Green Bay Packers to beat Ravens
They've got the Ravens in their house next... I I don't think they're gonna lose to the Ravens at home.
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
I I don't think they're gonna lose to the Ravens at home. I think the Ravens are gonna be out, and I think the Packers make the playoffs.
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Denver
So you would need Denver to lose to the chargers Right. In week 18. Yeah. I'm calling my shot on that one.
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
And Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top five quarterback. He is elusive.
Chicago Bears to win the division
It's not their division. It's the Bears division. The Bears are gonna win the NFC North.
Denver Broncos to take the top seed
It looks like they're gonna lock up the one seed if they kinda handle business the rest of the season.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
They're gonna win the division probably, but they'll lose to the five seed who will be in NFC West.
New England Patriots to win the division
So you could you're still probably gonna win this division, Chris, unless you lose two of the last three.
Philip Rivers to move — “in the NFL in 2026”
And I think he's gonna be in the NFL in 2026.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
The NFC East is really the only thing That's a wrap. Right.
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Dallas
The chargers are teams is a team that is gonna end Dallas' season next week
TreVeyon Henderson to be 1st on the depth chart
And I I mean, I think he should definitely start out snapping, Ramondre by a nice margin too.
Lamar Jackson to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
Even I don't even think you could sit here and say he's a top 10 quarterback this year.
Christian McCaffrey to win Offensive Player of the Year
And might be your front runner for offensive player of the year
Mac Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts
They should trade for Mac Jones this offseason.
Carolina Panthers to beat Tampa
I wouldn't be shocked if they swept Tampa to to bring this home.
Green Bay Packers to win the division
The road to the Super Bowl and the NFC goes through Lambeau Field.
Buffalo Bills to take the top seed
I think that whoever doesn't win the AFC East is gonna be the five seed, and I think they absolutely go into Pittsburgh or Baltimore and win that playoff game.
Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl
They're gonna be playing in the AFC championship game.
New England Patriots to win the division
I think you're winning the AFC East. It would be a massive collapse that I don't think New England has has in front of them