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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
251–275 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards
I'll just say sure. Why not?... I mean, those numbers are attainable.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Mendoza goes in the top 10.
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Yoane, the, the guard the interior guard of of the, Penn State Nittany Lions, I think he goes in the top 10.
Francis Mauigoa to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
I think Mau and Noah, the left tackle of, of Miami goes in the top 10.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
I don't think Jeremiah loves getting out of the top five. How about that?
Mike Evans to move
I'll say that's not an overreaction because if he's gonna go ring chase... I will buy that
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
And I don't think he's falling out of the top 10.
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
A lot of talk about the second quarterback, probably gonna be Ty Simpson from Alabama.
Mike Evans to move
Doesn't seem like he's gonna be back in Tampa... He's gonna go to a contender.
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Sadique, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
I also think he's gonna go in the first round, and he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him.
Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Sadique, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.
Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards
Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001... That's 64% of completions, 2,900 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 12 picks.
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 9 wins
You mentioned, the handsome man, Jimmy g. He's gonna have the cardinals over 500 next year.
Fernando Mendoza to record 18 passing tds
Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001... 2,900 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 12 picks.
Jeremiyah Love to record 55 receptions
he's gonna have a better 2026 season than last year's touted top 10 running back. Ashton... 1,321 total yards, nearly a thousand rushing, 55 catches, 10 total touchdowns.
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.
Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart
he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board
We know who the first quarterback is. Mendoza's gonna be first off the board, Rich.
Breece Hall to move to Arizona Cardinals
one of them was Breece Hall is going to go to the Arizona Cardinals and lead the league in rushing... This one was, like, totally makes sense.
Breece Hall to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
Breece Hall is going to go to the Arizona Cardinals and lead the league in rushing... Totally makes sense.
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We're gonna come out of the combine thinking not one, not two. Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck?... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.