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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
226–250 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Jadarian Price to be picked “top of round two”
And, so will Jadarian Price, of of, of the the, the fighting Irish.
Ty Simpson to be picked “top of round two”
I think at the end of the day, Simpson will be waiting for the top of round two.
Colonel Tate to be picked “not gonna be there at nine (i.e., picked before No. 9)”
And more and more I think about Colonel Tate, and if he drops to nine He's not he's no. He's not gonna be there. At nine? No. He's not gonna be there.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
I I think it'll be Mendoza one and then none, and then love top five
Caleb Williams to win MVP
He's one of the guys when you're talking about who could be a breakthrough MVP type guy. Caleb, I think, is at the top of the list.
Tom Brady to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure
Do you think Tom Brady, if if he played this year, is a top five quarterback?... Boom. Top five Tom Brady would be an MVP finalist.
Ty Simpson to be picked “Top 15. Top half of the first round.” (picks 1–15)
I think I think this kid can play, and I think he's gonna be drafted higher than everyone thinks. What is that? Top top of the and a top 15? Top 16? Top 15. Top half of the first round.
George Pickens to move
I'm thinking, like, George Pickens. He's tagged. No. Somebody may make a move for him... I think one of these three guys gets the
Tennessee Titans to beat expectations
Titans are sneaky. Tight Titans are gonna shock some people. ... they have a chance to be this year's commanders or patriots.
Carolina Panthers to win the division
Love what the Carolina Panthers did. Yeah. They're gonna win the South next year.
Justin Jefferson to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
He's gonna win the receiving Triple Crown next year.
Justin Jefferson to finish top 1 at his position, by receptions
Justin Jefferson is gonna remind everyone he's that dude. He's gonna win the receiving Triple Crown next year.
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
Patriots have this first place schedule extremely difficult. Knock they're not gonna win 14 games. Let's let's just be honest about it. Maybe maybe 10.
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
I think he's gonna be the starter for all 17. Oh. Two is gonna be the starting quarterback all year
Miami Dolphins to make the playoffs
So the Dolphins, I think, could be maybe the second playoff team in that division, go on the road somewhere.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
AFC South. Alright. Alright. Jacksonville wins that division. They are meeting their potential finally.
Justin Jefferson to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving tds
He's gonna win the receiving Triple Crown next year. ... I'm the best receiver in the NFL.
Bijan is your number one overall fantasy draft choice. I believe so.
that should get them above 500 at the very least
Carolina Panthers to win the division
They're gonna win the South next year. I don't think that's an overreaction at all.
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
then then he's going to be the starter. He's gonna be the guy. ... is gonna beat out somebody like JJ McCarthy because of his rawness.
David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Bailey Bailey goes in the top 10.
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Then you look at Sonny Styles and all those mocks of him being twelfth overall... it's up in smoke.
Arvell Reese to be picked “top five; at lowest No. 7” (picks 1–5)
Arvel Reese looks like RoboCop. He's not falling out of the top five. If he does, I think the commander's at seven. That is the lowest he's gonna go in this draft
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
had had all four guys going in the top 10... It had Tate at ten... I don't think this is an overreaction.