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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 2, 2026

Eisen endorsed four Ohio State players going in the top 10 (with Arvel Reese no lower than seventh), listed Mendoza, Jeremiah Love, Miami's left tackle, Penn State's interior guard and Bailey as top-10 picks, said Love won't get out of the top five, and agreed Mendoza's rookie numbers would beat Brady's 2001 line and that Mike Evans will leave Tampa to chase a ring.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

9 of 9calls landed9 hits · 2 waiting
97.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
9 of 11Settled2 still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

I don't think Jeremiah Love's getting out of the top five.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote
The episode
NFL Combine Takeaways, Draft & Free Agency Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 2
  2. GradedOct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks9000
Player Season Numbers0001
Trade and Signing Calls0001
All9002

How each call scored

11 checkable claims — 9 mock draft picks, 1 player season number and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

9 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 97.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top 10 (picks 1–10)They said
11What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks9 hitsShow ▸
  1. Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “And I don't think he's falling out of the top 10.”

    Caleb Downs

    Went 11
    95.76Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “Bailey Bailey goes in the top 10.”

    David Bailey

    Went 2
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Arvell Reese to be picked “top five; at lowest No. 7” (picks 1–5)

    “Arvel Reese looks like RoboCop. He's not falling out of the top five. If he does, I think the commander's at seven. That is the lowest he's gonna go in this draft”

    Arvell Reese

    Went 5
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top five; at lowest No. 7 (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “Mendoza goes in the top 10.”

    Fernando Mendoza

    Went 1
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Francis Mauigoa to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “I think Mau and Noah, the left tackle of, of Miami goes in the top 10.”

    Francis Mauigoa

    Went 10
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)

    “I don't think Jeremiah loves getting out of the top five. How about that?”

    Jeremiyah Love

    Went 3
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top five (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “Yoane, the, the guard the interior guard of of the, Penn State Nittany Lions, I think he goes in the top 10.”

    Olaivavega Ioane

    Went 14
    84.09Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Olaivavega Ioane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “had had all four guys going in the top 10... It had Tate at ten... I don't think this is an overreaction.”

    Carnell Tate

    Went 4
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “Then you look at Sonny Styles and all those mocks of him being twelfth overall... it's up in smoke.”

    Sonny Styles

    Went 7
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards

    “I'll just say sure. Why not?... I mean, those numbers are attainable.”

    Fernando Mendoza

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Trade and Signing Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Mike Evans to move

    “I'll say that's not an overreaction because if he's gonna go ring chase... I will buy that”

    Mike Evans

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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