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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
276–300 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
I've seen some people in New England are already freaking out about a seven and ten season. That's how bad it's gonna be... next year with this with new, you know, the schedule.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
JSN is the best wide receiver in the NFL and should be the highest paid at the position.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
And we know he's going first. We know he's going number one.
Carson Beck to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.
Will Campbell to be 1st on the depth chart
the conversation was a lot about, hey. He should he might kick inside, and he might. Well, I think he he's get ready for a career at left guard.
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
But it certainly seems like, man, this team is set up to go back next year here in LA.
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
This is the beginning of the Seahawks dynasty, Rich. They're gonna win multiple titles in the next five years.
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
He ends up having a phenomenal season, probably gonna be named MVP. He should be.
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
He had the best year of his career. He was never a first team all pro. Check that box. Yep. I think he's gonna be the MVP.
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
And I think the Seahawks are winning the Super Bowl. This is not an overreaction at all. They're the team to beat.
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
I picked the Rams to win the Super Bowl I think top to bottom they get. At Thanksgiving, and they didn't get off him. So I'm gonna be on him right now.
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
Kyle Shanahan, he's been my punching bag for a long time, Rich, but he proved he should be coach of the year with that win in Philly on Sunday.
Aaron Rodgers — “back in 2026”
The Steelers are blessed, Rich. They're going to the AFC title game, and Rodgers is gonna be back in 2026.
Seattle Seahawks 6 — Texans 3
Seahawks, Texan Super Bowl final score, six three.
Buffalo Bills to beat Jaguars
Bills going to the Jaguars. Okay? ... Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably.
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Niners
So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably. ... Niners going to Philadelphia.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina
Rams going to Carolina. ... Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably.
Green Bay Packers to beat Bears
Going to the bears. Okay? ... Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably.
Lamar Jackson — “will be back for the Ravens”
And Lamar will be back for the Ravens, and they will be a team that we look at as a Super Bowl contender again.
Houston Texans to beat Pittsburgh
And Texans going to Pittsburgh. ... Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably.
New England Patriots to beat Chargers
Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably. ... Chargers going to New England.
San Francisco 49ers to reach the Super Bowl
the San Francisco holds on, and the forty niners should be the favorites to win the NFC.
New Orleans Saints to finish with 9 wins
Tyla Shuck's gonna win rookie of the year and have the Saints over 500 next year.
James Cook to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
James Cook is gonna lead the league in rushing this year.
Tyler Shough to win Rookie of the Year
Tyla Shuck's gonna win rookie of the year and have the Saints over 500 next year.