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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
401–425 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
I think he's actually probably the MVP right now through five weeks, but Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in the MVP this season.
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
Kyle Shanahan is coach of the year front runner right now.
New York Jets to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]
Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
Jefferson, Chase, all good. CD when he's 100% healthy. Give me Puka right now. ... This is not an overreaction at all.
Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl
Your prophecy is that they they go to the Super Bowl. That was what I said before the season.
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
Colts are no joke, man. They're a playoff team.
New York Giants to beat Saints
if they go to New Orleans and keep the Saints winless, which the Giants, dare I say, should do even without Malik Neighbors
Wan'Dale Robinson to be 1st on the depth chart
Wandell Robinson is gonna be the the top receiver, and the rest of them aren't Malik Neighbors.
Kenny Gainwell to be 1st on the depth chart
Kenneth Gainwell may have just gained the full time job there with all due respect to Jalen Warren
Denver Broncos to beat Bengals
And the Bengals prior to playing on Monday Night Football But we don't anticipate them beating the Broncos.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
But I think they can absolutely win the AFC West... So I'm gonna say this is not an overreaction.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
I will basically say to you Ravens are still favored to win the division. I am not counting the Ravens out right now.
Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
He's the best wide receiver in the NFL... I got Puka, wide receiver one right now.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
The AFC North is only getting one playoff team, and it's the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
More concerned about the Ravens going to the Super Bowl to fulfill your prophecy on that one through four weeks
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
They got their mojo back. The Chiefs are gonna win the AFC West.
Green Bay Packers to win the Super Bowl
Look, man. I have them to win the Super Bowl, but it seems like we crown the Packers a little too early.
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9 wins
He goes even one game under 500, they're gonna be nine and eight at the end of the season.
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
They look like a playoff team, Seattle.
Jake Browning to record ? an unstated measure
what we're looking at with Jake Browning is potentially, and this is why he might be a backup, is a 500 quarterback
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
the Rams are still the only threat to the Eagles getting back to the Super Bowl in the NFC
Cincinnati Bengals to pick “picking in the top 10 this year” (picks 1–10)
Their season is absolutely cooked, and they're gonna be picking in the top 10 this year.
Daniel Jones to win MVP finalist
Danny Diamonds, Indiana Jones. He's gonna be an MVP finalist.
Indianapolis Colts to win the division
and then continues on and wins this division, which it sure looks like they are in a pole position to do
Justin Herbert to win MVP
Justin Herbert. He's the MVP through the first three weeks. Hands down.