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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
376–400 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs
Andy Dalton is back, and I think Falcons aren't blowing my socks off. The Panthers are gonna make the playoffs.
Chiefs are the best team in the NFL. That's your statement? Yep.
Denver Broncos to win the division
Broncos are gonna win the West and win a playoff game.
New England Patriots to take the top seed
either the Colts or the pats are gonna be the one seed in the AFC
Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed
I'll I'll say, that that this is not an overreaction because I think it's the Colts.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed
that's certainly the way you can be the number one seed, which they are currently leading the NFC right now at five and one
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
That could have been a Super Bowl preview for sure, and I told I called it before the season that I think that that is gonna be the Super Bowl sixty matchup.
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
That could have been a Super Bowl preview for sure, and I told I called it before the season that I think that that is gonna be the Super Bowl sixty matchup.
Washington Commanders to win the division
Commanders can win this. That's for sure. ... and and that would be the team that I'd peg as I'm sounding this thing out.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed
Baker Mayfield is the MVP, and the Bucks are gonna be the one seed in the NFC.
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
Baker Mayfield is the MVP, and the Bucks are gonna be the one seed in the NFC.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
Turns out, I was two weeks too early behind MVP level play from Drake May. The Patriots are gonna win a playoff game.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
And there are some highly winnable games for you. So you should make the playoffs.
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
I can't say that's an overreaction right now. ... that's the way you win MVPs, and that's certainly the way you can be the number one seed, which they are currently leading the NFC right now at five and one
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year
Jonathan Taylor looks like offensive player of the year, best running back in the league.
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
The lines, I chose to win the NFC. That was great right now... And I kinda feel real feel really good about that.
J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart
And we'll see how JJ McCarthy looks when he comes back from this bye week. That's gonna be McCarthy's first start, we think... They've gotta get started with JJ McCarthy.
Emeka Egbuka to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
And Emeka Abuka ... Appears to be the offensive rookie of the year unless somebody goes nuts and he somehow falls off the planet.
New York Jets to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
Well, the Jets are definitely gonna pick at the top five next April.
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
Jonathan Taylor looks like offensive player of the year, best running back in the league.
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
Kyle Shanahan is coach of the year front runner right now. Oh, I agree with you right there.
Indianapolis Colts to beat Arizona Cardinals
And the Indianapolis Colts next have the Arizona Cardinals, which means the Colts will win, on a field goal with no time left.
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
They're not gonna miss the playoffs... I'm not going to sit here and saying the Charging is back and the bolts from this playoffs.
Jake Browning to be 1st on the depth chart
So, you know, Browning's gonna get that start.
New York Giants to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]