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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
426–450 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
the a and NFC East is only getting one playoff team, and it's the Philadelphia Eagles
Chicago Bears to win the division
That's four in a row for the Chicago Bears. Yes, sir. They're gonna win the North.
New England Patriots to take the top seed
either the Colts or the pats are gonna be the one seed in the AFC
Chiefs are the best team in the NFL. That's your statement? Yep.
Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed
either the Colts or the pats are gonna be the one seed in the AFC
Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs
Andy Dalton is back, and I think Falcons aren't blowing my socks off. The Panthers are gonna make the playoffs.
Denver Broncos to win the division
Broncos are gonna win the West and win a playoff game.
Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed
I'll I'll say, that that this is not an overreaction because I think it's the Colts.
New England Patriots to beat Cleveland
Certainly, you you you should beat the crap out of Cleveland at home.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
you're you're not gonna get maybe more than one from the South, and it's gonna be the Bucks. So I think the Bucks are in
Carolina Panthers to finish with 10 wins
but I think I think the Panthers can I can get it? Panthers look good. Get to 10 wins.
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
No. No. No. No. No. Tua is the quarterback... So I I don't believe the Dolphins are gonna have a new quarterback week one next season.
Brock Purdy to be 1st on the depth chart
When Brock Purdy is returning, but guess what's gonna happen? He's playing.
Detroit Lions to win the division
As for the bears, this is still the lions division to lose as far as I'm concerned.
Jonathan Taylor — top three in MVP voting: top three of MVP voting, if not top two
a running back is gonna be in the top three of MVP voting, if not top two. Mhmm. Jonathan Taylor is that guy.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
Turns out, I was two weeks too early behind MVP level play from Drake May. The Patriots are gonna win a playoff game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed
Baker Mayfield is the MVP, and the Bucks are gonna be the one seed in the NFC.
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
Baker Mayfield is the MVP, and the Bucks are gonna be the one seed in the NFC.
Washington Commanders to win the division
Commanders can win this. That's for sure. ... and and that would be the team that I'd peg as I'm sounding this thing out.
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
That could have been a Super Bowl preview for sure, and I told I called it before the season that I think that that is gonna be the Super Bowl sixty matchup.
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
I can't say that's an overreaction right now. ... that's the way you win MVPs, and that's certainly the way you can be the number one seed, which they are currently leading the NFC right now at five and one
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed
that's certainly the way you can be the number one seed, which they are currently leading the NFC right now at five and one
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
And there are some highly winnable games for you. So you should make the playoffs.
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
That could have been a Super Bowl preview for sure, and I told I called it before the season that I think that that is gonna be the Super Bowl sixty matchup.