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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
526–550 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
But to say they're going in the NFC championship game and Brock's an MVP finalist again would be an amazing season... I will not call this an overreaction
Brock Purdy to win MVP finalist
to say they're going in the NFC championship game and Brock's an MVP finalist again... I will not call this an overreaction
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 13 wins
There's a path to 13 wins for the buck. That's all I'm saying.
Baker Mayfield to finish top 8 at his position, by passing yards
Baker Mayfield, what, top eight quarterbacks?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed
The Bucs have a real chance to be the one seed in the NFC. Everybody back all 11 on offense.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
The Bengals are winning the AFC North. ... I think twelve and five wins the AFC North.
Terry McLaurin to move to Washington Commanders
Terry wants to get paid. Terry's gonna get paid by the Washington Commanders. ... I just would be stunned if they can't figure this thing out, for Terry McLaurin.
New England Patriots to beat expectations
I don't wanna carp on your your patriots and douse a flame here. They could be a sleeper team, but to win the division, threaten for the division
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 12 wins
So they they went six and eleven last year. They could put twelve and five pretty easily.
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
San Francisco will be playing on championship weekend this year. Wow. Forty niners final four.
Denver Broncos to win the division
Sean Payton year two. Got some weapons in the draft. Broncos win the West.
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins
Dallas could be a twelve and five team.
Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins
I think they're gonna come back down to earth a little bit, maybe go nine and eight, ultimately miss the playoffs.
Bo Nix to record 35 passing tds
Bo Nicks 4,500 yards, 35 touchdowns.
Bo Nix to record 4,500 passing yards
Bo Nicks 4,500 yards, 35 touchdowns.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
One playoff team That's wild. On the AFC North Who is it? It's the Baltimore Ravens.
New York Jets to finish with 5 wins
But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.
Mike Vrabel to win Coach of the Year
Mike Vrabel's gonna win coach of the year. The Pats are back, people.
New York Giants to finish with 5 wins
But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.
Bo Nix to win MVP finalist
Bo Nicks is gonna be an MVP finalist this year.
Rome Odunze to be 1st on the depth chart
Romadunze really has a chance to be the number one wide receiver in Chicago.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
I think I think they might make Jaguars... I think they might win the division.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
It's only Baltimore in the AFC North.
San Francisco 49ers to beat expectations
heading into 2025, the forty niners are being slept on, underrated, and San Francisco will be playing on championship weekend this year
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
I think the chargers make it again.