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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
551–575 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Sam Darnold to move
Sam Darnold... Not coming back to the Vikings, and he's gonna get $50,000,000 a year in his new deal.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “taken the end of the first round” (picks 1–32)
So I think Jackson Dart is gonna get taken the end of the first round.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
With him staying put, the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025. I totally agree. I absolutely totally agree.
Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl
Adding Deebo puts the commanders as the team to beat in the NFC.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “fall out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)
Shador Sanders. Yes. He's gonna fall out of the top 10.
Tennessee Titans to pick at number 1
the Titans won't be making the first overall pick. Someone's gonna move up.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
With him staying put, the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “not falling out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)
So I don't think he's falling out of the top 10 at all. No way, man.
Cleveland Browns to pick at number 2
virtually every human I I ran into in the Indianapolis thinks the Browns are taking a quarterback second overall, and that's the end of that
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
How do we go from that to, oh, they got Deebo, and, no longer are they the the leaders in the clubhouse in their own conference. Jeez, man. That's an overreaction.
Myles Garrett to move — “traded before the draft”
Is Miles Garrett getting moved? I think that'll already be done.
Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys
If the Cowboys whiff on free agency again, Micah Parsons is going to ask for a trade.
Abdul Carter to be picked “drafted by the Browns (if Myles Garrett is traded)”
I mean, if Myles Garrett get traded, it's for sure Abdul Car because they have to replace that position.
James Cook to move to Buffalo Bills
This may have been a whole long winded table pound for something that won't be necessary because the bills will pay him.
Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys
I think Micah stays a cowboy. I think they're You think he's I think he'll just do it late. One. The usual drill.
Abdul Carter to be picked “the Browns are taking Abdul”
The Browns are taking Abdul.
Travis Kelce to make the roster
I think Travis Kelce is gonna be back next year. He's not going out like this.
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
the Eagles are the favorite for next year's Super Bowl, and they're gonna be back in the big game one year from today.
Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
He is a top five quarterback in the NFL... Guess who is the MVP, of this Super Bowl and the top five guy? Not an overreaction.
Travis Kelce to make the roster
I I I don't think this is gonna be the end of '87. I agree.
Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
Jalen Hurts proved he's a top five quarterback heading into 2025.
Saquon Barkley to win MVP
I had the Eagles are the best team in the NFL, and Saquon will be first non QB MVP.
Sam Darnold to move to Minnesota Vikings
I also don't think Sam's walking... But I I I do believe the the Vikings and if I'm him, I'm trying to stay. I'm trying to stay in Minnesota
Myles Garrett to move
Browns are gonna send them to another conference anyway. I would imagine it'd be an NFC team.
Myles Garrett to move
star players get their wish usually no matter the sport... We know that he's going to a team that can can contend and win a Super Bowl.