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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
551–575 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
The Chiefs make it again.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
I think the Bengals are gonna make the playoffs this year.
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
The Lions make it again.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins
And the Steelers, sir, as you know, book them for ten and seven. You know what I mean? Maybe eleven and six.
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
So I will say the Bills make it again.
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
if you're bubbling on the hot seat and Daniel Jones is your quarterback as it's gonna be for Shane Steichen in Indianapolis
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins
Will they actually have double digit wins this year? That's more likely than not.
Puka Nacua to record 2,000 receiving yards
I'll agree with you, and I'll give you one... I'm going Puka Nakua... You're down with the 2,000 yard wide receiver?
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
The Ravens make it again.
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
The rams make it again.
Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
Sam Darnold is not getting benched in 2025.
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
And Michael Penaics, obviously, is just he's gonna have his first ever week one start.
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
I think the eagles make it again.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
Denver could make it again.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
The Bucks make it again.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
Will they win the AFC West again this year? I think that's more likely than not.
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
The Texans make it again.
Caleb Williams — MVP (top-five finish): top five MVP finish
So I understand. A top five MVP finish? Yeah. Why not? ... Alright, Chris. Thank you. I'll give you this one.
Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year
You're talking about Ben Johnson coach of the year. You're that's what you're talking about. That's what I'm talking about.
Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins
That means you're talking about eleven, twelve win season there... That's what I'm talking about.
Caleb Williams — MVP (top-five finish): top five MVP
Caleb Williams is gonna take a massive leap. I'm talking top five MVP incoming.
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
The Patriots are gonna win 10 plus games this year for the first time since Tom Brady. ... I think ten and seven is not unrealistic looking at this schedule.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
They still have a really good season. There's still a playoff team.
Carolina Panthers to win the division
I think the Panthers are gonna win the NFC South.
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
Shedeur is gonna end up starting the most games at quarterback for the Browns this year.