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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
501–525 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins
I think they're gonna come back down to earth a little bit, maybe go nine and eight, ultimately miss the playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
San Francisco will be playing on championship weekend this year. Wow. Forty niners final four.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
One playoff team That's wild. On the AFC North Who is it? It's the Baltimore Ravens.
Denver Broncos to win the division
Sean Payton year two. Got some weapons in the draft. Broncos win the West.
San Francisco 49ers to beat expectations
heading into 2025, the forty niners are being slept on, underrated, and San Francisco will be playing on championship weekend this year
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
I think I think they might make Jaguars... I think they might win the division.
Caleb Williams to win MVP (top-five finish)
So I understand. A top five MVP finish? Yeah. Why not? ... Alright, Chris. Thank you. I'll give you this one.
Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year
You're talking about Ben Johnson coach of the year. You're that's what you're talking about. That's what I'm talking about.
Caleb Williams to win MVP (top-five finish)
Caleb Williams is gonna take a massive leap. I'm talking top five MVP incoming.
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
The Patriots are gonna win 10 plus games this year for the first time since Tom Brady. ... I think ten and seven is not unrealistic looking at this schedule.
Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins
That means you're talking about eleven, twelve win season there... That's what I'm talking about.
Carolina Panthers to win the division
I think the Panthers are gonna win the NFC South.
Caleb Williams to record 30 passing tds
Caleb Williams is gonna break the Bears passing and touchdown records in 2025. That's a tall order, pal. 30 touchdowns and 3,900 yards.
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
Shedeur is gonna end up starting the most games at quarterback for the Browns this year.
Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart
the Giants, they should just go ahead and start Jackson dart day one
Caleb Williams to record 3,900 passing yards
Caleb Williams is gonna break the Bears passing and touchdown records in 2025... 30 touchdowns and 3,900 yards.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
They still have a really good season. There's still a playoff team.
Travis Hunter to finish top ? at his position, by interceptions
I think he's gonna be tremendous.
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
Certainly, if I'm Daybell and Shane, I'm starting with Russ. I'm letting the kid marinate.
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
If I had to peg one team from the top five to make it, it would be Jacksonville.
Drew Allar to be picked at number 1
Drew Aller could be the first overall pick in next year's draft. He could.
Joe Flacco to make the roster
I think he's just gonna be like, you got the roster spot, pal.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
they're not good enough... But they're also not gonna miss the playoffs to be bad enough to be able to totally reset their franchise.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
I think Ashton Gentry is going in the top five. / I think he could too... This is not an overreaction.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
Cam Ward's gonna go first overall... The Titans, Rich, as you know, number one on the clock breaking news, they're gonna take Cameron Ward That's correct. Seemingly. Right? 99.9%. I think it's gonna happen.