Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 23, 2025

Brockman argued the Chiefs dynasty is finished, predicted the Giants and Jets would win about five games apiece while Dallas could reach 12 wins, tabbed Jacksonville as an AFC South winner, said Washington falls back to 9-8, picked Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, called the 49ers a slept-on championship-weekend team, projected big numbers for Bo Nix and a Denver division title, forecast a 2,000-yard receiver, hyped the Penix-London duo, and said Baltimore is the AFC North's only playoff team.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

7 of 14calls landed7 hits · 3 close calls · 4 misses · 2 waiting

61.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 14 calls

27.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

14 of 16Settled2 still waiting

#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

Last year's Super Bowl blowout loss marked the end of the Chiefs dynasty.

Chris Brockman, the lead quote

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: Last Year's Super Bowl Blowout Loss Marked the End of the Chiefs’ Dynasty
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidJun 23, 2025
GradedAug 13–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting
Division Winners	2	0	1	0
Season Win Totals	2	1	2	0
Playoff Picks	1	0	1	0
Player Season Numbers	0	2	0	0
Depth Chart Calls	1	0	0	0
Coach Award Picks	1	0	0	0
Award Picks	0	0	0	1
Surprise Team Calls	0	0	0	1
All	7	3	4	2

How each call scored

16 checkable claims — 5 season win totals, 3 division winners, 2 player season numbers, 2 playoff picks, 1 award pick, 1 coach award pick, 1 depth chart call and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

14 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 61.5 out of 100, against 27.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Division Winners2 hits · 1 missShow ▸

Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“It's only Baltimore in the AFC North.”
Baltimore Ravens
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Denver Broncos to win the division
“Sean Payton year two. Got some weapons in the draft. Broncos win the West.”
Denver Broncos
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
“I think I think they might make Jaguars... I think they might win the division.”
Jacksonville Jaguars
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
JAX
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?

Season Win Totals2 hits · 1 close call · 2 missesShow ▸

New York Jets to finish with 5 wins
“But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.”
New York Jets
3called 5
60Close
60 − 25 naive = 35 × 2 difficulty = +70 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
naive:
6.75
skill:
70
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
25
they said:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
New York Giants to finish with 5 wins
“But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.”
New York Giants
4called 5
80Hit
80 − 65 naive = 15 × 2 difficulty = +30 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
5.75
skill:
30
what happened:
4
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
65
they said:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins
“I think they're gonna come back down to earth a little bit, maybe go nine and eight, ultimately miss the playoffs.”
Washington Commanders
5called 9
20Miss
20 − 0 naive = 20 × 2 difficulty = +40 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
naive:
10.25
skill:
40
what happened:
5
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
0
they said:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 12 wins
“So they they went six and eleven last year. They could put twelve and five pretty easily.”
San Francisco 49ers
12called 12
100Hit
100 − 5 naive = 95 × 2 difficulty = +190 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
naive:
7.25
skill:
190
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
5
they said:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins
“Dallas could be a twelve and five team.”
Dallas Cowboys
7called 12
0Miss
0 − 85 naive = −85 × 2 difficulty = −170 skill
How this was scored
team:
DAL
naive:
7.75
skill:
−170
what happened:
7
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
85
they said:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Playoff Picks1 hit · 1 missShow ▸

San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“San Francisco will be playing on championship weekend this year. Wow. Forty niners final four.”
San Francisco 49ers
Made the playoffs
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“One playoff team That's wild. On the AFC North Who is it? It's the Baltimore Ravens.”
Baltimore Ravens
Missed the playoffs
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Player Season Numbers2 close callsShow ▸

Bo Nix to record 4,500 passing yards
“Bo Nicks 4,500 yards, 35 touchdowns.”
Bo Nix Denver Broncos
3,931called 4,500
74.71Close
74.71 − 38.05 naive = 36.66 × 2 difficulty = +73.32 skill
How this was scored
naive:
2713.37
skill:
73.32
what happened:
3931
player:
Bo Nix
season:
2025
accuracy:
74.71
baseline:
38.05
they said:
4500
statistic:
passing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
3775
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1651.74
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Bo Nix to record 35 passing tds
“Bo Nicks 4,500 yards, 35 touchdowns.”
Bo Nix Denver Broncos
25called 35
42.86Close
42.86 − 70.58 naive = −27.72 × 2 difficulty = −55.44 skill
How this was scored
naive:
21.32
skill:
−55.44
what happened:
25
player:
Bo Nix
season:
2025
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
70.58
they said:
35
statistic:
passing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
29
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
13.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?

Depth Chart Calls1 hitShow ▸

Rome Odunze to be 1st on the depth chart
“Romadunze really has a chance to be the number one wide receiver in Chicago.”
Rome Odunze Chicago Bears
No. 3called No. 1 · by receptions
83.33Hit
83.33 − 100 naive = −16.67 × 2 difficulty = −33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
CHI
skill:
−33.33
player:
Rome Odunze
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Coach Award Picks1 hitShow ▸

Mike Vrabel to win Coach of the Year
“Mike Vrabel's gonna win coach of the year. The Pats are back, people.”
Mike Vrabel won
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Mike Vrabel
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
200
season:
2025
who won:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Award Picks1 waitingShow ▸

Bo Nix to win MVP finalist
“Bo Nicks is gonna be an MVP finalist this year.”
Bo Nix Denver Broncos
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Surprise Team Calls1 waitingShow ▸

San Francisco 49ers to beat expectations
“heading into 2025, the forty niners are being slept on, underrated, and San Francisco will be playing on championship weekend this year”
San Francisco 49ers
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.
Parker Hurley · Roster Spot Calls · Khalid Kareem · Miss 0
Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Cleveland Browns · Hit 100
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Kansas City Chiefs · Miss 0
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Detroit Lions · Miss 0
Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. They also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Kansas City Chiefs · Miss 0
Wright picked Chiefs over 11.5, Buccaneers over 9.5, Raiders over 6.5 (plus a Raiders playoff berth), Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Jaguars over 7.5, and Bengals under 9.5 with Zac Taylor fired after missing the playoffs. They also had Commanders and Eagles both 11-6 with Washington winning the NFC East.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Cincinnati Bengals · Hit 100
Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired.