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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
201–225 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
James Cook to record 1,600 rushing yards
We're gonna have five top 1,600 this year... You say James Cook does it again.
George Pickens to record 1,750 receiving yards
George Pickett is gonna set a cowboys receiving record this year. I don't know if it's receptions, one thirty five, or yards, seventeen fifty, both set by CD in 2023. He's breaking one of those.
Fernando Mendoza to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
Even if he doesn't start until October, and he is gonna start this year Okay. Fernando Mendoza's winning rookie of the year.
DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
This is gonna be Devante Smith's first year as the clear cut number one wide receiver in Philadelphia.
Matthew Stafford to win receives MVP votes
Only two are gonna get votes this year... I think it's gonna be Stafford and and Allen.
De'Von Achane to record 1,600 rushing yards
Devin hanging. A chan. 1,600 yards. Mhmm. With Malik Willis who can't throw it to first base.
A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots
Devante Smith is gonna have an Ole Miss teammate leave town. AJ Brown's going to New England.
Jahmyr Gibbs to record 1,600 rushing yards
Jameer Gibbs is gonna get nothing Gibbs. Gibbs is gonna do it.
Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart
Even if Mahomes is ready to start week one, the Chiefs to start Justin Fields for all of September.
Indianapolis Colts to win the division
I don't I wanna go Colts. Colts?
Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart
chose Bachel Toonton, who's Probably gonna be the starter. Not probably. He's gonna they've got a starting running back
Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart
I think Aaron Rodgers is coming back. And if Aaron Rodgers is coming back, he's gonna start all 17 games unless he gets hurt
The Giants are gonna have the most ferocious pass rush in 2026. / I don't think that's an overreaction.
Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
They're gonna wish they had taken Ruben Bane or Mekhi Lehman last week. Like, come on, man. This wasted pick on Ty Simms.
Drew Allar to be 1st on the depth chart
Drew Allard is gonna start the most games at quarterback for the Steelers next year.
Jeremiyah Love to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
He's gonna be the first rookie running back since Ezekiel Elliott to lead the NFL in rushing yards.
The Giants are gonna have the most ferocious pass rush in 2026.
New Orleans Saints to pick “bottom half of the 2027 NFL draft”
Rich, the Saints won't be picking in the top half of next year's NFL. Top half won't be picking in the top half.
Cleveland Browns to beat expectations
Cleveland Browns. Yeah. I believe they're gonna be no worse than second in the AFC North this year.
A.J. Brown to move
We know that they are going to most likely trade, AJ Brown come June 1
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
We know Fernando Mendoza's going number one, probably not gonna start in week one.
Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart
Ty Simpson, though, is [going to start in week one], and he's gonna start more games this year than Fernando Mendoza.
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart
Let's talk about Kirko going to the Raiders, presumably to start week one, and I think he's gonna succeed.
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
And if they miss the playoffs, that would be stunning. Don't you think, though, at the end of the day? ... They're they're really good, though.
Jordan Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
I I think it'll be Mendoza one and then none, and then love top five Yeah. And then none.