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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
201–225 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Sadique, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
I also think he's gonna go in the first round, and he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him.
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board
We know who the first quarterback is. Mendoza's gonna be first off the board, Rich.
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
A lot of talk about the second quarterback, probably gonna be Ty Simpson from Alabama.
Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Sadique, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.
Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart
he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 9 wins
You mentioned, the handsome man, Jimmy g. He's gonna have the cardinals over 500 next year.
Jeremiyah Love to record 55 receptions
he's gonna have a better 2026 season than last year's touted top 10 running back. Ashton... 1,321 total yards, nearly a thousand rushing, 55 catches, 10 total touchdowns.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
I don't think Jeremiah loves getting out of the top five. How about that?
Breece Hall to move to Arizona Cardinals
one of them was Breece Hall is going to go to the Arizona Cardinals and lead the league in rushing... This one was, like, totally makes sense.
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We're gonna come out of the combine thinking not one, not two. Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck?... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
And we know he's going first. We know he's going number one.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
JSN is the best wide receiver in the NFL and should be the highest paid at the position.
New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
I've seen some people in New England are already freaking out about a seven and ten season. That's how bad it's gonna be... next year with this with new, you know, the schedule.
Carson Beck to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.
Breece Hall to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
Breece Hall is going to go to the Arizona Cardinals and lead the league in rushing... Totally makes sense.
Will Campbell to be 1st on the depth chart
the conversation was a lot about, hey. He should he might kick inside, and he might. Well, I think he he's get ready for a career at left guard.
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
But it certainly seems like, man, this team is set up to go back next year here in LA.
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
This is the beginning of the Seahawks dynasty, Rich. They're gonna win multiple titles in the next five years.
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
He had the best year of his career. He was never a first team all pro. Check that box. Yep. I think he's gonna be the MVP.
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
He ends up having a phenomenal season, probably gonna be named MVP. He should be.
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
And I think the Seahawks are winning the Super Bowl. This is not an overreaction at all. They're the team to beat.
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
I picked the Rams to win the Super Bowl I think top to bottom they get. At Thanksgiving, and they didn't get off him. So I'm gonna be on him right now.