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9 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
26–50 of 54
38 / 54
graded
16 still pending
I don't see Texas and and and, and Florida flipping. I just don't.
I tend to believe that Trump wins ... I'm leaning on the Republican side of the ledger.
Bannon told Axios he feels amazing and empowered, predicting a major win for Donald Trump in 2024.
Because it's looking like they're gonna lose the senate... They're most likely gonna lose the Senate.
Sherrod Brown, you know, is running in a state that we know Donald Trump will win.
I I think most... Honestly, if I were to rank them, I'd say most likely would be... I I I do think Harris' slight edge. It's basically tossed by Harris' latest for the presidency, but then Republican senate.
She wins the presidency narrowly. Democrats win the house narrowly. But because of the map, Republicans take the senate... I'd say most likely would be... I I I do think Harris' slight edge.
It's basically tossed by Harris' latest for the presidency, but then Republican senate. So it's that Sarah knows the most likely
That's that's Blue Wall plus Nebraska two, not winning anything in the Sun Belt.
I'm inclined to believe Harris can gut out, the Rust Belt with ground game
Democrats win the house. Republicans win the senate.
while Allred and, Riskell Powell are knocking on the door in Florida and Texas, it seems hard to believe they could actually overcome, without there being a really broader blue wave
I think the Democrats will probably take the house, but it'll be by, like, two votes. Excuse me. By by two two seats.
I am I am $5 confident Kamala Harris is gonna win. I would not be very surprised if Trump won... this is a coin flip, and I'm marginally thinking Kamala.
The only thing that I'm fairly confident on is I do think the Republicans will take the senate. I think that just the the map looks very favorable to them.
That's that's Blue Wall plus Nebraska two, not winning anything in the Sun Belt.
That's that's Blue Wall plus Nebraska two
will come up short, you know, in the Sun Belt where, you know, Joe Biden just barely won it, you know, in Arizona and Georgia last time
will come up short, you know, in the Sun Belt where, you know, Joe Biden just barely won it, you know, in Arizona and Georgia last time
Democrats win the house. Republicans win the senate.
in the senate, you know, Tester does not look good in Montana. I hate to say it, but it seems like just a lot of Republicans that move into that state just change the complexion of the state.
I still put the edge in the Harris camp Yeah. Because I do feel that there is a ground game mismatch here.
I would think the most likely is a two seventy, two sixty eight Harris winning electoral college. Narrow, narrow, narrow.
while Allred and, Riskell Powell are knocking on the door in Florida and Texas, it seems hard to believe they could actually overcome
And because the house will be decided predominantly in blue states and districts that president Biden won, The Democrats win the house.